Manifold Creator
PedeJo
@PedeJo
Markets by PedeJo
Will Ukrainian ground troops reach the Sea of Azov anywhere by September 1st?
$25K46 tradersResolved
1%
If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
$14K129 tradersopen
37%
Which country will be completely eliminated from Dip713830 first?
$4K7 tradersResolved
—
Will Japan have a bigger population than Russia in 2050?
$4K34 tradersopen
41%
Will Dip713830 finish without any of the players ever missing an order?
$4K5 tradersResolved
1%
[Season 3] which Diamond league will have the highest cumulative mana earned?
$3K9 tradersResolved
—
Will any Manifold user go from being Bronze in Season 1 to Masters in Season 5? (The shortest possible time)
$3K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?
$2K35 tradersopen
43%
[Season 3] Will any silver league have a higher cumulative amount of mana earned than at least one platinum league?
$1K14 tradersResolved
90%
Will Manifold remove or substantively rework the "Share x markets" quest sometime in 2023?
$89915 tradersResolved
6%
Will there be a McDonalds establishment on Mars by 2075?
$80221 tradersopen
35%
Will France have a bigger population than Germany in 2050?
$50513 tradersopen
57%
Will Europa Universalis V release before 2025?
$5046 tradersResolved
5%
[Season 3] Will my Gold league (Mystic Hydras) have the highest cumulative mana earned of all Gold leagues?
$4106 tradersResolved
85%
Conditional on me promoting to Platinum, will I still have negative all-time profit by the start of Season 4?
$2616 tradersResolved
25%
Will I be paid both of the bounties I am eligible for from this market before August?
$755 tradersResolved
75%