Manifold Creator
Paper Boy
@PaperBoy
Markets by Paper Boy
How long will the government shutdown last?
$1.2M1,044 tradersResolved
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Will June 2024 be the hottest June on record?
$566K497 tradersResolved
98%
Will July 2024 be the hottest July on record?
$155K171 tradersResolved
100%
Will gas hit ___ by end of April?
$58K65 tradersResolved
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Will August 2024 be the hottest August on record?
$46K101 tradersResolved
99%
Who will be the top 10 picks in the 2024 NBA Draft?
$39K20 tradersResolved
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Who will appear on the Joe Rogan Experience by Election Day 2024? (ADD RESPONSES, 1K LIQUIDITY ADDED)
$29K82 tradersResolved
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Trump tries to fire Powell before September 1?
$28K87 tradersResolved
1%
Will anything go wrong during my trip to Ecuador?
$27K64 tradersResolved
6%
Who will be the top 10 picks in the 2025 NBA Draft? [READ DESCRIPTION]
$23K27 tradersResolved
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Will Trump win the shutdown?
$22K55 tradersResolved
1%
Which will happen first: first woman US President 👸or US gets into a new hot war 💥🪖?
$22K156 tradersResolved
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What percentage (%) of the pop. vote will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) receive during the 2024 presidential election?
$20K37 tradersResolved
1%
Will any aviation incidents or accidents occur during Portugal’s ground worker strike?
$17K23 tradersResolved
3%
NOAA - Will October 2024 be the hottest October on record? (Global)
$17K34 tradersResolved
1%
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
$15K31 tradersResolved
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NOAA - Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record? (Global)
$14K44 tradersResolved
1%
Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?
$14K14 tradersopen
2%
In what year will the S&P 500 reach 6000?
$12K19 tradersResolved
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NOAA - Will November 2024 be the hottest November on record? (Global)
$12K17 tradersResolved
1%
Thunder win 74+ games (NBA record)? 🏀
$12K21 tradersResolved
1%
If The FED cuts, will the Dems win the presidency?
$11K26 tradersResolved
3%
Will May 2024 be the hottest May on record?
$11K49 tradersResolved
98%
Will April 2024 be the hottest April on record?
$9K60 tradersResolved
94%
Price of gas on Election Day?
$8K11 tradersopen
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Where will LeBron be traded?
$8K27 tradersResolved
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Will gas hit ___ by end of March?
$8K37 tradersResolved
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NOAA - How many consecutive months will there be record-high global temperatures?
$7K10 tradersResolved
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What will Biden’s net approval rating be on October 31st, 2024 per 538?
$7K24 tradersResolved
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If Biden loses, what will be the main reason (according to Manifold) [Open Answer]
$6K23 tradersResolved
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Will my flight land safely?
$5K7 tradersResolved
99%
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor of South Carolina?
$5K14 tradersopen
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Will anything go wrong with my flights?
$4K28 tradersResolved
10%
Will everyone “Return To Office” (RTO) in 2025?
$3K19 tradersResolved
9%
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
$3K27 tradersopen
47%
When will the 6-7 meme die?
$3K25 tradersResolved
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Will Bronny James score more than 1000 points in his NBA career?
$3K18 tradersopen
17%
Will Jake Auchincloss try to become a leader in the Democratic Party?
$3K6 tradersopen
5%
Scott Alexander debates USAID at Manifest?
$3K7 tradersResolved
13%
Will the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?
$3K26 tradersopen
9%