Manifold Creator
Omar
@Omar
Markets by Omar
Will 20 or more people attend the ACX meetup in Freiburg, Germany on Oct 14th 2022?
$3K11 tradersResolved
4%
How many people will attend the "Effectively Handling Disagreement" workshop (Freiburg, July 2025)?
$2K8 tradersResolved
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LWCW 2026 keynote speaker [ADD OPTIONS]
$1K15 tradersopen
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Which reason will LWCW 2025 attendees cite most often for disliking the digital session schedule? [ADD OPTIONS]
$1K14 tradersclosed
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Will the majority of participants favor digital over paper session schedule after LWCW 2025?
$90124 tradersResolved
69%
How many people will attend the ACX meetup on Oct 14th 2022 in Freiburg, Germany?
$7979 tradersResolved
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Spanish translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
$6073 tradersResolved
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French translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
$4334 tradersopen
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LWCW 2026 start date?
$32710 tradersopen
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What grade will I get in my upcoming Cambridge English C2 CPE exam?
$3236 tradersResolved
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Will LWCW 2026 use a digital schedule?
$2728 tradersopen
93%
How many people will attend the rationalist hike on Oct 15th 2022 in Freiburg, Germany?
$2454 tradersResolved
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How many people will come to the AI talk of "Rationality Freiburg" on March 17th?
$1506 tradersResolved
27%
What will be the LWCW 2026 COVID testing policy?
$1397 tradersopen
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Mandarin Chinese translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
$1101 tradersopen
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What book will get an overall rating above 8.5 / 10 in the Rationality Freiburg reading group?
$1053 tradersResolved
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Will Cleodora get useful pull requests by 5 or more distinct people before June 1st?
$1002 tradersResolved
10%
German translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
$333 tradersopen
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What is the max number of GitHub stars Cleodora will get before 2024?
$22 tradersResolved
2%
Russian translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?
$00 tradersopen
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