Manifold Creator
Odoacre
@Odoacre
Markets by Odoacre
Will APL Materials publish the research on LK-99 ?
$123K102 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Whales Vs Minnows market resolve before May 2023
$103K58 tradersResolved
100%
Democracy Stock (Permanent)
$44K63 tradersopen
—
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
$42K112 tradersopen
1%
Will Bitcoin ever go below $100.00 (one hundred) USD again?
$42K67 tradersopen
6%
Nobel prize for literature 2023
$40K77 tradersResolved
—
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk ?
$30K72 tradersopen
10%
Will this market swing 95% or more, at least three times before close ?
$22K28 tradersResolved
1%
Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2024 ?
$22K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will I run every day of the week ending on Nov 5 ?
$21K10 tradersResolved
100%
Will the top 5 YES holders have a cat in their profile picture
$18K43 tradersResolved
32%
How much mana will be donated before it is no longer possible to donate mana?
$14K28 tradersResolved
—
Will Biden drop out of the election during the ABC interview ?
$14K42 tradersResolved
1%
In which country will Andrew Tate be on April 1st, 2025?
$13K72 tradersResolved
—
Capitalism Stock (Permanent)
$13K34 tradersopen
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Will the word "stablecoin" be added to the Merriam-Webster online dictionary in 2023
$13K63 tradersResolved
1%
Will Rupert Murdoch reach the age of 93
$12K16 tradersResolved
100%
Will the average percentage of "the market" be a prime number ?
$12K17 tradersResolved
3%
Will August 2nd be the hottest day in Aug 2023?
$11K43 tradersResolved
99%
Will proof emerge that the world is ruled by lizard people?
$11K67 tradersopen
2%
(Another) Healthcare executive assassinated before June 1st 2025
$11K26 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold be working normally for me at 9 PM Monday 17 PST
$11K28 tradersResolved
38%
Will I run 30k in the week ending on Nov 12 ?
$10K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will the most sold car model in 2023 be an electric vehicle?
$10K21 tradersResolved
99%
Will Manifold visually distinguish markets where the creator has/has not traded (in 2024)
$9K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will this market have a cover image at close time
$9K28 tradersResolved
99%
Will manifold demote any Prize Market to regular market ? (2024)
$8K24 tradersResolved
5%
Will the word "Rizz" be added to the OED online dictionary in 2024
$8K25 tradersResolved
3%
Will Musk say he manipulated the election
$8K26 tradersResolved
3%
Will it still be possible to use the twitter API for free on March 9 2023?
$7K27 tradersResolved
97%
Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
$7K39 tradersopen
32%
Will Turkey become a member state of the EU
$7K21 tradersopen
29%
Who will Trump pardon ? [Independent Megamarket]
$6K24 tradersopen
—
Will Rupert Murdoch reach the age of 94
$6K11 tradersResolved
99%
Will Australia remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?
$6K33 tradersopen
9%
Will there be physical violence at the 2023 Oscars?
$6K39 tradersResolved
27%
Will Manifold visually distinguish markets where the creator has/has not traded
$6K44 tradersResolved
2%
Will xAI release grok 4.20 ?
$5K38 tradersResolved
3%
Will Lex Fridman interview Sukbae Lee or Ji-Hoon Kim by August of 2024?
$5K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2023 ?
$5K15 tradersResolved
1%