Manifold Creator
Nevin Wetherill
@NevinWetherill
Markets by Nevin Wetherill
Is Boeing killing whistleblowers?
$9K69 tradersopen
7%
Will researchers discover unintended presence or utilization of steganography in LLM outputs by 2026? [Gwern's Idea]
$91910 tradersResolved
4%
When Ilya Sutskever reemerges in public, will he have joined his voice to those of the AI Doomers?
$38011 tradersResolved
7%
Do implanted brain-computer interfaces get put in anyone for reasons other than a medical treatment by 2026?
$34610 tradersclosed
7%
Will researchers extract a novel program from the weights of an LLM into a Procedural/OO programming language by 2026?
$29913 tradersclosed
23%
Will the FDA update their regulation on the labeling of trans fat content ≤0.5 g to "Trans Fat - 0 g" by 2026?
$2474 tradersResolved
10%
Will there be a credible (see details) announcement of human multiplex gene editing (≥5 genomic loci) pre 2026?
$707 tradersclosed
31%