Manifold Creator
Nathan Showell
@NathanShowell
Markets by Nathan Showell
In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector?
$28K95 tradersResolved
1%
By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?
$10K84 tradersclosed
8%
Will Reddit ban porn by the end of 2024?
$4K75 tradersResolved
6%
Will a release date for Hollow Knight: Silksong be announced by July 1, 2024?
$3K32 tradersResolved
1%
Will Vladimir Kramnik win the Clash of Claims blitz chess match against Jose Martinez?
$3K12 tradersResolved
4%
Will Manifold support betting fractional M$ by August 1, 2022?
$1K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong be released before January 1, 2023?
$75817 tradersResolved
4%
Will Pale end by the beginning of October 2023?
$60311 tradersResolved
19%
Will Manifold add a native "hide all polls" option by the end of 2024?
$1054 tradersclosed
16%