Manifold Creator
Nathan Scott ♠︎
@NathanScott
Markets by Nathan Scott ♠︎
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
$31K131 tradersResolved
86%
What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?
$3K12 tradersopen
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Will Mike Johnson be the Speaker of the House on November 28, 2025?
$2K25 tradersResolved
99%
If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
$1K43 tradersResolved
73%
Will JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
$1K20 tradersopen
1%
Will Chuck Schumer endorse Zohran Mamdani before the NYC mayor election?
$1K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will ICE or CBP kill another civilian, which sparks at least one protest, by the end of January 2027?
$1K25 tradersopen
61%
In the chess Candidates Tournament 2026, will anyone play the London opening?
$1K3 tradersResolved
99%
Will Trump's approval rating reach 39.4% or lower on Silver Bulletin by the end of 2026?
$9529 tradersResolved
91%
Will the Tyson plant in Lexington, Nebraska shut down by the end of January 2026?
$9346 tradersResolved
99%
Will Trump's approval rating reach 40.4% or lower on Silver Bulletin by the end of September 2026?
$8679 tradersResolved
98%
How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?
$68710 tradersopen
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Will Sonja Lang publish a new book by the end of February 2026?
$6398 tradersResolved
93%
Will Trump's approval reach 42.4% or lower before April 1, 2026?
$61514 tradersResolved
98%
The next time the AI Safety Clock moves, will it get further away from midnight?
$54612 tradersopen
7%
Will the pride flag become a congressionally authorized flag by the end of 2026?
$54210 tradersopen
5%
Will FEMA be funded by the end of April 2026?
$3586 tradersResolved
71%
President Stocks - J Edition
$3478 tradersopen
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The next time the AI Safety Clock moves, will it move further away from midnight?
$30311 tradersResolved
33%
Will Congress introduce a bill focused on internet piracy by the end of February 2026?
$2998 tradersResolved
71%
Will Jared Isaacman leave the position of NASA Administrator by the end of 2027?
$2438 tradersopen
12%
Will the SAVE Act become law by the end of 2026?
$24213 tradersopen
19%
How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally?
$1909 tradersopen
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Will the game "I Am Jesus Christ" have an 80 or above on Opencritic a month after its release?
$18710 tradersResolved
28%
Will a federal court agree to hear a new internet piracy case by the end of 2024?
$1797 tradersResolved
45%
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
$16816 tradersResolved
77%
Will I hit my exercise goals in April?
$1619 tradersResolved
40%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37.4% or lower on Silver Bulletin by the end of June 2027?
$1185 tradersopen
82%
Will the Tennessee state Democrats break out of the superminority in either chamber by the end of January 2036?
$1001 tradersopen
80%
Will Trump's approval rating reach 38.4% or lower on Silver Bulletin by the end of March 2027?
$803 tradersResolved
76%
Will Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?
$602 tradersopen
72%
Will I go on a run on at least 17 days in March?
$575 tradersResolved
62%
Will I reach my goals for the rest of April?
$513 tradersResolved
58%
What was the Roman Dodecahedron for?
$333 tradersopen
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Will Marco Rubio leave the position of Secretary of State by the end of 2027?
$283 tradersopen
43%
Will the Chess musical announce a US tour by the end of 2026?
$212 tradersopen
41%
Will Brooke Rollins leave the Secretary of Agriculture position by the end of 2027?
$101 tradersopen
45%
Will Doug Burgum leave the position of Secretary of the Interior by the end of 2027?
$101 tradersopen
55%
Will either of Alex Jones' appeals go to court by the end of June 2024?
$101 tradersResolved
59%
Which of these potential Trump vice presidents is the most palatable to Democrats?
$051 tradersResolved
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