Manifold Creator
Natália 🔍
@Natalia
Markets by Natália 🔍
Will SCOTUS grant a writ of certiorari to Washington Alliance of Technology Workers v. DHS (22-1071) before 2024?
$39K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will the ability of F-1 international students to work in the US be severely curtailed before July 2025?
$23K28 tradersclosed
6%
Will I get admitted to EA Global: Bay Area 2023?
$20K27 tradersResolved
98%
Will the conflicting federal rulings on mifepristone's availability result in a Supreme Court case by December 31, 2024?
$15K27 tradersResolved
99%
Will Francesca Gino's lawsuit go to trial before 2026?
$11K9 tradersclosed
2%
Will any of the Data Colada members settle the lawsuit brought against them by Gino before 2026?
$9K12 tradersclosed
2%
Will Harvard settle the lawsuit brought against them by Gino before 2026?
$7K16 tradersResolved
2%
How many of these false/misleading statements in SMTM’s posts will they fix (or will be shown in the comments not to be false or misleading) before June 2023?
$6K42 tradersResolved
16%
What will the US economy look like throughout 2023?
$5K29 tradersResolved
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Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
$3K47 tradersopen
90%
Will Harvard be found liable for damages to Gino, conditional on a trial verdict being reached by 2026?
$3K16 tradersclosed
19%
Will any of the Data Colada members be found liable for damages to Gino, conditional on a trial verdict being reached?
$2K18 tradersclosed
10%
Will Paul Graham tweet again by February 1, 2023?
$1K12 tradersResolved
91%
Will Altos Labs trial an anti-aging intervention in humans by 2030?
$99824 tradersopen
59%
Will I be at least quite happy on August 3, 2022?
$76329 tradersResolved
34%
Will the H-1B visa cap increase by at least 50% or be removed before Fiscal Year 2027?
$54210 tradersclosed
7%
Will the S&P 500 fall at least 3% on February 22, 2022?
$49118 tradersResolved
16%
Will my OPT application get approved by June 13, 2022?
$2705 tradersResolved
83%
Will the USCIS receive more H-1B registrations for FY 2024 than it did for FY 2023?
$301 tradersResolved
70%