Manifold Creator
NBAP
@NBAP
Markets by NBAP
Will I still be vegan on October 5th, 2024?
$11K28 tradersResolved
99%
Exploding Word Search (Read Description)
$9K3 tradersResolved
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Can anyone beat me in the Pokemon Monotype Gauntlet? [Rock vs Fire round]
$9K1 tradersResolved
3%
How many questions are required to solve this riddle?
$8K13 tradersResolved
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Which stock differential will be reached in the SSBM 8v8 AIronman challenge?
$5K4 tradersResolved
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Who will win Melee singles at The Big House 11?
$4K18 tradersResolved
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Will I spend more than 4 weeks this year working triple shifts?
$4K6 tradersResolved
3%
Will I successfully develop a cheating-detection system for my employer?
$3K19 tradersResolved
94%
Which weight loss milestones will I hit by July 2024?
$3K6 tradersResolved
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Will an AI be able to beat me in Pokemon?
$3K14 tradersopen
24%
What MMR will I reach in this season of Hearthstone Battlegrounds?
$3K6 tradersResolved
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Will the SSBM community abandon UCF as a result of the Nintendo community tournament guidelines?
$3K15 tradersResolved
2%
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?
$3K26 tradersopen
4%
Will a human player defeat the SSBM AI Phillip in 2025?
$2K7 tradersResolved
10%
Who will be AlgoRank's (absolute) greatest SSBM player of all time?
$2K5 tradersopen
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Will I have developed a decent incremental game before the end of 2025?
$2K20 tradersResolved
10%
Who will be AlgoRank's (relative) greatest SSBM player of all time?
$1K5 tradersopen
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Will I exceed my all-time PRs in the Big 3 Lifts before the end of 2024?
$1K7 tradersResolved
3%
Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?
$95711 tradersopen
12%
Which weight loss milestones will I hit by January 2025?
$8806 tradersResolved
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Which weight loss milestones will I hit in 2026?
$7496 tradersResolved
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Portal Paradox: will the cube be launched?
$71818 tradersResolved
53%
Will Mang0 ever be the #1 SSBM player again before retiring?
$4487 tradersopen
4%
Median absolute difference between SSBMRank 2025 and AlgoRank 2025 under 3.5?
$3844 tradersResolved
35%
Which SSBM players will win their matches at the Nounsfest Showcase?
$3463 tradersResolved
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Average absolute difference between SSBMRank 2025 and AlgoRank 2025 under 5?
$3274 tradersResolved
37%
Will I be able to build a bot that achieves #1 on the Gen 9 1v1 ladderboard on Pokemon Showdown before the end of 2026?
$2773 tradersopen
38%
Will my Pokemon AI win its Nat Dex Monotype Gauntlet?
$2053 tradersResolved
41%
Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?
$17710 tradersopen
66%
Will I regret the extra time spent working to save up for my wedding?
$1736 tradersResolved
68%
Will Super Smash Bros. Melee have an AI scandal in a tournament before 2027?
$1706 tradersopen
12%
Will Armada place top 8 in the next major SSBM singles tournament he enters?
$1032 tradersopen
43%
By the end of 2026, will AI have empowered me to build a bot that can reach the top 500 in the current gen of OU?
$514 tradersopen
38%
Will I lose the ability to stop hiccuping at will before 2040?
$363 tradersopen
40%
Will Hungrybox lose a tournament set to an opponent for the first time before 2024?
$324 tradersResolved
46%
Will Zain lose a set to a Fox player before 2024?
$213 tradersResolved
67%
Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats the Phillip AI in a Bo5 set?
$101 tradersopen
45%
Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats me in a Bo5 set?
$101 tradersopen
55%
Am I more likely to die of a heart attack or some AI-enabled event?
$031 tradersResolved
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Help me fix my connection issues in the online game Dead by Daylight
$00 tradersResolved
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