Manifold Creator
Multicore
@Multicore
Markets by Multicore
Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?
$75K31 tradersopen
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Will Less Wrong's big red button be used to take down the front page on Petrov Day?
$33K100 tradersResolved
100%
Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$33K28 tradersResolved
0%
Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$32K33 tradersResolved
99%
New Glenn's furthest milestone in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$23K33 tradersResolved
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Will Boeing's Starliner carry crew to orbit by the end of June 2023?
$20K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$17K15 tradersResolved
1%
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$16K28 tradersResolved
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Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$14K23 tradersResolved
1%
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$14K14 tradersResolved
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When will Sierra Space launch Dream Chaser? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$13K11 tradersResolved
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How many crewed launches will Boeing's Starliner have in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$13K18 tradersResolved
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MTG: Which Cards Banned/Unbanned December 4? [Unlinked]
$11K15 tradersResolved
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SpaceXpectations 2024: Which of these missions will happen on schedule?
$11K22 tradersResolved
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Will a new European launch provider reach orbit in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$11K12 tradersResolved
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How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
$10K24 tradersResolved
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How many Modern Horizons 3 cards will be banned in Modern by the end of 2025?
$10K17 tradersResolved
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In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 2 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
$10K15 tradersResolved
1%
LessWrong 2022 Review: Top 5 Posts
$10K24 tradersResolved
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Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out?
$10K22 tradersopen
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When will Polaris Dawn launch?
$10K20 tradersResolved
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Will Rocket Lab launch Neutron in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$9K19 tradersResolved
5%
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
$9K28 tradersResolved
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Will SLS survive 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$9K19 tradersResolved
99%
In Magic: The Gathering, will a card be banned in Modern in 2023?
$8K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Hubble Servicing mission receive a green light in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$8K11 tradersResolved
2%
How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2025 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$8K4 tradersResolved
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In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 4 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
$8K13 tradersResolved
1%
In Magic: The Gathering, will a card be banned in Pioneer in 2023?
$7K18 tradersResolved
99%
When will Boeing fly humans on Starliner? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
$7K24 tradersResolved
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Will New Shepard return to flight before the end of October 2023?
$7K16 tradersResolved
0%
Will New Shepard return to flight before the end of December 2023?
$6K25 tradersResolved
99%
What's the furthest milestone we'll see Starship achieve in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
$6K14 tradersResolved
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What % of Petrov Day will elapse before someone uses the big red button to take down Less Wrong's frontpage?
$6K43 tradersResolved
76%
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
$6K22 tradersopen
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Which rocket will reach orbit and deploy a meaningful payload first (not just a mass simulator)? Everyday Astronaut 2024
$5K6 tradersResolved
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What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
$5K8 tradersResolved
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In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
$5K14 tradersopen
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Will a Starship orbital flight test occur by the end of November?
$4K26 tradersResolved
2%
Predictions about Isaac's iterated PD competition
$4K14 tradersResolved
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