Manifold Creator
MrLuke255
@MrLuke255
Markets by MrLuke255
Will Bitcoin reach $40k before the end of November?
$74K249 tradersResolved
1%
Will Vladimir Putin lose political power in Russia before 2026?
$40K84 tradersResolved
1%
Will my Instagram profile "pxl_hckr" reach 150 followers in 2023?
$40K158 tradersResolved
13%
Will **at most** 100 traders bet in this market in a week? [SUBSIDIZED]
$22K111 tradersResolved
8%
Will my Instagram profile "pxl_hckr" reach 100 followers in 2023?
$19K92 tradersResolved
48%
Will @Shelvacu have a rationalussy threesome with Destiny and @Aella on Manifest? [+Ṁ200 subsidy]
$17K28 tradersResolved
0%
Will Apple allow sideloading of apps on iOS in the EU by the end of Q1 2024?
$16K108 tradersResolved
22%
Will Meta Threads be officially available in the EU before the end of 2023?
$14K43 tradersResolved
99%
Will it be confirmed that Prigozhin was killed in the plane crash beyond a reasonable doubt?
$14K70 tradersResolved
95%
Which of these world leaders will be guests of Lex Fridman Podcast before the end of 2025?
$14K44 tradersResolved
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Will Manifold.love have a more even ratio of strictly monogamous cis-hetero males to females?
$13K14 tradersResolved
0%
How will "Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?" on Polymarket resolve?
$11K8 tradersResolved
98%
Will I have at least 25 reviews on my Manifold profile?
$11K16 tradersResolved
100%
Will EUR/PLN go up in the upcoming month?
$11K26 tradersResolved
99%
Will any post on my Instagram profile "pxl_hckr" reach 100 likes in 2023?
$10K37 tradersResolved
99%
Will I reach 2500 traders on my profile in 2023?
$9K18 tradersResolved
100%
Will Elm programming language have a new official release before the end of 2024?
$7K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will Manifold introduce reactions for markets and/or comments?
$7K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will GitHub have a red incident on October 5th 2023?
$7K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will GitHub have a red incident on October 9th 2023?
$6K7 tradersResolved
0%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 18th 2023?
$6K19 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 10th 2023?
$6K20 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 9th 2023?
$6K13 tradersResolved
100%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 16th 2023?
$6K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 22th 2023?
$6K16 tradersResolved
100%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 7th 2023?
$5K17 tradersResolved
1%
Will EUR/PLN go up more than 10% over September?
$5K11 tradersResolved
0%
Will Manifold.love reach 1000 signups before the end of November?
$5K34 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 17th 2023?
$5K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 5th 2023?
$5K19 tradersResolved
100%
Will ChatGPT Plus subscription be available for less than $20/month? [before end of Jun 2024]
$5K26 tradersResolved
3%
Will GitHub have a red incident on October 17th 2023?
$5K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold switch to DALL-E 3 API to generate market banners? [2023]
$5K12 tradersResolved
100%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 4th 2023?
$4K21 tradersResolved
1%
Is iOS app sideloading going to be geographically restricted by Apple? [at the end of 2024 specifically]
$4K20 tradersResolved
96%
Manifold Plays: 25 Questions [spin-off] [Ṁ1000 prize] [final attempt]
$4K31 tradersResolved
—
Will Manifold.love reach 1500 signups before the end of November?
$4K17 tradersResolved
0%
Will there be any "rationalussy" merchandise before the end of 2023?
$4K34 tradersResolved
96%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 21th 2023?
$4K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 20th 2023?
$4K15 tradersResolved
1%