Manifold Creator
Mingwei Samuel
@MingweiSamuel
Markets by Mingwei Samuel
Who will win the SF Board of Supervisors District 5 election?
$153K20 tradersResolved
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Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2025
$34K39 tradersResolved
1%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of Q1 (March) 2024? [description]
$16K59 tradersResolved
3%
Will Cruise give notice for a mass layoff (50+ employees) before the end of 2023
$13K51 tradersResolved
98%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on a freeway in the SF Bay Area by the end of 2025? [description]
$12K21 tradersResolved
98%
Will Zoox obtain an Autonomous Vehicle Deployment Permit from the CA DMV in 2024
$12K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of 2024? [description]
$12K50 tradersResolved
6%
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
$11K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to San Francisco (or back) by the end of 2025?
$10K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
$10K31 tradersResolved
3%
Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
$9K11 tradersopen
3%
Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from SF to the Palo Alto area or back by the end of 2025?
$8K16 tradersResolved
92%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of Q3 (September) 2024? [description]
$8K40 tradersResolved
8%
Will Waymo announce 4 million driverless miles before the end of September 2023?
$8K21 tradersResolved
95%
Will Waymo give public *driverless* rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff by the end of 2025?
$7K27 tradersResolved
12%
Will Zoox obtain an Autonomous Vehicle Deployment Permit from the CA DMV in 2025
$7K13 tradersResolved
2%
Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
$6K12 tradersopen
3%
Who will be the next permanent CEO of Cruise? [unlinked]
$6K13 tradersResolved
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Will Cruise announce 6 million driverless miles before the end of October 2023?
$6K33 tradersResolved
1%
Will Waymo give public rides to/from SFO airport terminals (driverless or not) by the end of 2024?
$6K45 tradersResolved
3%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SJC airport terminal area by the end of 2025?
$5K9 tradersResolved
92%
Will Cruise announce 7 million driverless miles before the end of 2023?
$5K11 tradersResolved
3%
Will Cruise's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2024
$5K25 tradersResolved
86%
Where will Cruise relaunch? [linked free response]
$4K19 tradersResolved
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Who will be the next permanent SFMTA Head Director?
$4K3 tradersResolved
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Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
$4K20 tradersResolved
3%
Will Cruise give notice for a mass layoff (50+ employees) before the end of March 2024 (Q1)
$3K7 tradersResolved
100%
Will Waymo announce 5 million driverless miles before the end of 2023?
$3K11 tradersResolved
98%
Who will win the CA Alameda County District 5 Supervisor election [linked]
$3K5 tradersResolved
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Will Zoox give public driverless rides somewhere in the US before the end of 2025
$3K7 tradersResolved
94%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of Q2 (June) 2024? [description]
$3K23 tradersResolved
11%
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2024
$3K20 tradersResolved
5%
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport *pickup/dropoff/terminal* area by the end of 2026?
$3K17 tradersopen
45%
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]
$2K7 tradersopen
9%
Who will win the 2024 Berkeley Mayor election [linked]
$2K7 tradersResolved
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Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]
$2K9 tradersopen
15%
Will the California legislature override any of Governor Gavin Newsom’s vetos by the end of 2023
$2K9 tradersResolved
2%
Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2024
$2K6 tradersResolved
1%
Will Waymo give driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of 2023? [description]
$2K11 tradersResolved
2%
Will Cruise re-obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2025
$1K6 tradersResolved
1%