Manifold Creator
Mike Wendling
@MikeWendling
Markets by Mike Wendling
Will a third party candidate qualify for at least one U.S. presidential debate in 2024?
$13K22 tradersResolved
2%
Will the major-party loser of the 2024 presidential election concede by Jan 20, 2025?
$12K23 tradersResolved
99%
Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?
$10K20 tradersResolved
98%
In what month will the next UK General Election be held?
$4K19 tradersResolved
—
Which party will win the most seats in the next UK General Election?
$2K17 tradersResolved
—
Will the House, Senate and presidency be controlled by one party on 21 January 2025?
$5676 tradersResolved
99%
Number of seats won by the Labour Party in the UK general election held on 4 July 2024?
$4953 tradersResolved
—