Manifold Creator
Mike Chen
@MikeChenSF
Markets by Mike Chen
Will Reddit IPO by end of March 2024?
$149K88 tradersResolved
100%
Will Senator Dianne Feinstein be back in the Senate chamber by 2023-05-12?
$27K19 tradersResolved
100%
California Proposition 34 (2024) Passes - Regulate Health Care Orgs' Political Spending
$22K27 tradersResolved
99%
Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao is recalled
$18K18 tradersResolved
99%
London Breed is re-elected Mayor of San Francisco in 2024
$16K59 tradersResolved
1%
Daniel Lurie announces run for Mayor of San Francisco by 2023-11-03
$13K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will Nancy Pelosi run for re-election in 2024?
$13K31 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Constraints Reduction housing legislation pass the San Francisco Board of Supervisors by 2023-11-07?
$12K13 tradersResolved
0%
Which San Francisco charter amendments will make it from legislation to the ballot? 2024-11-07
$12K2 tradersResolved
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Second place in San Francisco Mayoral election 2024
$12K11 tradersResolved
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Will San Francisco Bay Area bridge tolls increase?
$12K9 tradersResolved
1%
Aaron Peskin runs for Mayor of San Francisco
$11K25 tradersResolved
99%
Which two candidates will win the California US Senate primary? (full term)
$11K23 tradersResolved
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Gavin Newsom approves/vetos SB 58 (decriminalize certain psychedelics) by 2023-10-08
$11K18 tradersResolved
100%
California Proposition 3 (2024) Vote Percentage - Right to Marriage
$10K4 tradersResolved
65%
California Proposition 5 (2024) Passes - Lower Threshold to Pass Infrastructure and Housing Bonds
$10K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will California require cars to warn drivers for excessive speeding? (SB 961 2024)
$10K12 tradersResolved
1%
San Francisco Proposition D passes: City Commissions and Mayoral Authority 2024-11
$10K8 tradersResolved
1%
San Francisco District 7 Supervisor election winner (November 2024)
$9K6 tradersResolved
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New York City Council District 1 Democratic primary winner (2025)
$9K6 tradersResolved
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Will Cruise and Waymo be approved to charge for rides across San Francisco 24/7 by 2023-08-10?
$9K31 tradersResolved
99%
Which two candidates will win the California US Senate primary? (partial term)
$9K17 tradersResolved
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Will Dianne Feinstein leave office by 2023-07-13?
$8K21 tradersResolved
0%
Will Meta announce layoffs by 2023-04-30?
$8K34 tradersResolved
98%
Will the downtown San Francisco IKEA open by 2023-08-25?
$8K25 tradersResolved
99%
California Forever new city ballot measure passes in Solano County
$7K29 tradersResolved
3%
San Francisco Prop D (ethics rules) passes 2024-03-05
$6K9 tradersResolved
100%
Will robo-taxis from Cruise and Waymo be permitted to operate 24/7 by 2023-08-10?
$6K42 tradersResolved
97%
Will Rob Bonta announce he is running for Governor of California by 2023-11-26?
$6K9 tradersResolved
0%
Will California SB 423 become law in 2023?
$5K15 tradersResolved
99%
San Francisco Proposition K passes: Great Highway Recreational Space 2024-11
$5K11 tradersResolved
98%
How many Democrats for Change candidates will win SF DCCC?
$5K8 tradersResolved
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Will the downtown San Francisco IKEA open by 2023-11-30?
$5K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will a new major contender join the race for San Francisco Mayor by 2023-12-04?
$4K11 tradersResolved
0%
Will Senator Dianne Feinstein be back in the Senate chamber by 2023-06-09?
$4K9 tradersResolved
100%
Daniel Lurie announces run for Mayor of San Francisco by 2023-09-26
$4K12 tradersResolved
100%
Will California AB 645 (speed safety cameras) become law in 2023?
$4K15 tradersResolved
99%
Will California AB 645 (speed safety cameras) pass the Assembly?
$4K6 tradersResolved
100%
San Francisco Prop A (affordable housing bond) passes 2024-03-05
$4K14 tradersResolved
98%
Will Olivia Chow win the Toronto mayoral by-election held 2023-06-23?
$4K7 tradersResolved
97%