Manifold Creator
Michael Voss
@MichaelVoss
Markets by Michael Voss
What 2+ word phrase will Donald Trump use at least once until Jan 21, 2025? [your answers]
$9K71 tradersResolved
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Will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict" by EOY 2025?
$8K44 tradersResolved
3%
Will Russia issue an ultimatum this year for a ceasefire agreement, using the threat of tactical nuclear weapons?
$8K23 tradersResolved
2%
Will Russia implement a major nationwide forced military mobilization for the Ukraine war before EOY 2024?
$6K44 tradersResolved
6%
Will Robert Fico remain PM of Slovakia at EOY 2024?
$5K33 tradersResolved
96%
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
$5K29 tradersResolved
5%
Will Transnistria be annexed by Russia until EOY 2025?
$5K26 tradersResolved
3%
Will Ukrainian frontline collapse until EOY 2024?
$5K33 tradersResolved
4%
Will Kharkiv or Zaporizhia or Kherson fall before EOY 2024?
$4K23 tradersResolved
8%
Will Ukraine destroy at least 5 strategic bombers this year, preventing their further use for shelling Ukraine?
$3K29 tradersResolved
8%
Will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict" by EOY 2024?
$2K26 tradersResolved
6%
Will there be mass protests in Ukraine analogous to the Maidan protests by December 31, 2024?
$2K13 tradersResolved
4%
Will Ukrainian authorities lift the travel ban for male citizens aged 18-60 by January 1, 2026?
$1K14 tradersResolved
4%
How could Ukraine win a war against Russia with a ceasefire on Ukrainian or allied terms? [add responses]
$1K20 tradersopen
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When will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict” or the ceasefire agreement is signed?
$1K9 tradersopen
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Will an ungoverned free society exist anywhere on Earth for at least one year before 2040?
$97223 tradersopen
24%
Will the mass forced mobilization of at least 250,000 recruits in Ukraine succeed in 2024?
$84513 tradersResolved
9%
Will Russia strike NATO member countries hosting transit bases for Ukrainian military equipment by EOY 2025?
$82517 tradersResolved
14%
Will Ukraine militarily destroy or disable ALL Russian A-50 airborne early warning and control aircraft by EOY 2025?
$7089 tradersResolved
5%
Will commercial flights resume from any Ukrainian airport by January 1, 2026?
$64113 tradersResolved
19%
If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]
$55916 tradersopen
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Will a mutiny occur in 2024 within the Russian or Ukrainian military?
$2377 tradersResolved
8%
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
$1975 tradersopen
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When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
$1197 tradersopen
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Will the average price per square meter of residential property in Kyiv city center exceed following values by 2030?
$1113 tradersopen
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Will one or more Ukrainian private military companies participate in battalion-sized (500+ soldier) combat operations?
$804 tradersResolved
35%
Will negotiations between Ukraine and Russia start this year and why? (your answers)
$654 tradersResolved
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Will the average monthly net salary in Kyiv, Ukraine reach 1000 US$ or more until January 1, 2030?
$252 tradersopen
68%