Accrue
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillancePricing
Log inGet Access
  1. Accrue
  2. /Home
  3. /Manifold
  4. /Michael Cohen
Manifold Creator

Michael Cohen

@MichaelCohen

Markets by Michael Cohen

Will Scott Alexander read an AI proposal and believe that scaling it up *won't* kill everyone, but an alternative would?

$5996 tradersResolved
—

Proof of avoidance of human extinction within a year?

$3458 tradersResolved
35%
2
Markets Created
Total Volume$944
Total Traders14
Resolved2
View on Manifold →
Accrue© 2026
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillance
The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets
TermsPrivacyRisk DisclosureCookiesDisclaimerAcceptable Use