Manifold Creator
Matthew H
@Matthew_H
Markets by Matthew H
Will Sam Altman or Greg Brockman join a Elon Musk AI lab?
$14K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will xAI overtake OpenAI as the leader in AI research by the end of 2024?
$8K45 tradersResolved
7%
Will xAI overtake OpenAI as the leader in AI research by the end of 2023?
$4K30 tradersResolved
2%
Will Elon Musk establish a singleton over the known universe?
$2K11 tradersopen
3%
Will Elon Musk create the first AGI by 2030?
$2K24 tradersopen
6%
What is the average IQ of a Manifolder?
$85220 tradersopen
—
Will Elon Musk ever make it to Mars?
$63415 tradersopen
10%
Will Trump or Biden go to prison first?
$51115 tradersopen
—
Will @firstuserhere's 50,000 steps market resolve TRUE?
$5114 tradersResolved
97%
Did OpenAI make a breakthrough in Q* learning dramatically shortening AGI timelines?
$28412 tradersclosed
21%