Manifold Creator
Matthew
@Matthew
Markets by Matthew
Will America engage in a military action against the Houthi Rebels in 2023? (read description)
$23K127 tradersResolved
98%
Will mainland North America experience a magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake in 2023?
$8K35 tradersResolved
1%
Will Murkowski win the 2022 Alaskan Senate Race?
$5K27 tradersResolved
81%
Will an Al have been elected to the House of Representatives by 2025?
$3K16 tradersResolved
4%
Will an Al win the Nobel Peace Prize by December 31st, 2023?
$3K24 tradersResolved
63%
Will an Al have been elected to the US Senate by 2025?
$2K10 tradersResolved
3%
Will Sigourney Weave in 2023?
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ringo Starr in 2023?
$2K4 tradersResolved
100%
Will Ted Cruz in 2023?
$1K24 tradersResolved
12%
Will Tom Holland in 2023?
$1K25 tradersResolved
10%
Will Nic Cage in 2023?
$99011 tradersResolved
99%
Will Joan Jett in 2023?
$7097 tradersResolved
2%
Will flight AS 835 fly on December 24th?
$5497 tradersResolved
96%
Will Lucy Liu in 2023?
$5305 tradersResolved
95%
Will Cardi B in 2023?
$5253 tradersResolved
98%
Will Chevy Chase in 2023?
$4839 tradersResolved
7%
Will an Al run for President by 2024?
$4607 tradersResolved
35%
Will Florence Pugh in 2023?
$2793 tradersResolved
89%
Matthew gets a crossword accepted to the NYT before July 1st, 2022.
$21811 tradersResolved
25%
Will Andy Serkis in 2023?
$1856 tradersResolved
11%
Will Halle Berre in 2023?
$1755 tradersResolved
14%
I test positive for COVID-19 by UTC 13:00 on Tuesday, March 1st, 2022.
$1756 tradersResolved
65%
Matthew travels to a wedding in Colorado in April
$1583 tradersResolved
91%
Matthew records a 42.2k (marathon) under 4 hours in 2022.
$955 tradersResolved
40%
Matthew records a 10k under 1 hour in 2022.
$703 tradersResolved
94%
[Tips!] What action that I can take in the next 3 months will cause (or lead to) the greatest increase in standard of living/quality of life/life satisfaction over a period of 5-10 years?
$301 tradersResolved
—
Matthew records a 21.1k under 2 hours in 2022.
$251 tradersResolved
85%
Matthew records a 10k in less than an hour in 2022.
$251 tradersResolved
95%