Manifold Creator
Matt F
@MattF
Markets by Matt F
Will TSLA reach >$ 550 before 8pm EST on 8/8/25?
$479K117 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ghisaline Maxwell Be Reported Dead Within 72 Hours?
$115K51 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?
$68K42 tradersopen
4%
Who is the demon?!?! - - - - - - - - - - 🙈🙈🙈🙊😈🙊🙈🙈🙈
$50K10 tradersResolved
—
Who is the demon at the start?
$35K6 tradersResolved
—
Will Melania Trump file for divorce from Donald Trump in 2025?
$26K98 tradersResolved
1%
What will my Total Testosterone levels be on my March 6th test?
$21K23 tradersResolved
—
Will Taylor Swift release a new song by December 31, 2024 that references recent political events?
$17K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will Sean 'Diddy' Combs be found deceased under suspicious circumstances by December 31, 2025?
$13K18 tradersResolved
1%
When will UA877 (SFO-HKG) depart on Nov 21, 2024? (Scheduled for 11:10 PM)
$12K2 tradersResolved
—
Will Mainstream Democrats Allege Significant Election Fraud Before Inauguration Day 2025?
$11K5 tradersResolved
1%
If Gwern is interviewed by Dwarkesh Patel in the next 6 months, which of the following phrases or words will he say?
$11K13 tradersResolved
—
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election if he loses the 2024 election?
$11K23 tradersResolved
1%
If Donald Trump loses the election, will he flee to a country without a U.S. extradition treaty by Dec. 2025?
$10K81 tradersResolved
11%
Will the FBI arrest a suspect for the January 5, 2021 DC pipe bomb incidents before January 5, 2026?
$10K13 tradersResolved
97%
By 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?
$10K32 tradersopen
35%
Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?
$9K32 tradersclosed
31%
Will the October 13-18 IEEE Vis in-person events held in Florida be canceled? (presumably because of the Hurricane)
$8K4 tradersResolved
94%
Will Ivanka Trump release a tell-all book about Donald Trump before the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
$8K29 tradersResolved
2%
Will Justin Bieber testify in any legal proceedings against Sean 'Diddy' Combs by December 31, 2025?
$8K23 tradersResolved
5%
Will Tucker Carlson relocate to Russia and spend more than two consecutive months there by December 31, 2025?
$8K30 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be any lynchings in the USA by the end of 2025?
$8K21 tradersResolved
8%
Will the SEC charge Donald Trump with stock manipulation related to DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) by Dec. 2025?
$7K15 tradersResolved
2%
How many people will attend the Love Symposium at Lighthaven in November?
$7K9 tradersResolved
—
Will a law be enacted by Dec. 2025 that revokes lifetime benefits for former U.S. Presidents convicted of a felony?
$6K15 tradersResolved
2%
What will be the broad ethnicity of the next U.S. school shooter?
$6K17 tradersResolved
—
Will any scheduled debate be replaced by a solo interview or town hall with only the Democratic candidate?
$5K10 tradersResolved
2%
Will food prices rise by 15% or more after mass deportations?
$4K12 tradersResolved
7%
Will at least one U.S. state eliminate or significantly restrict no-fault divorce by December 31, 2025?
$4K14 tradersResolved
5%
Will Gwern publish a standalone book in print form by December 31, 2026?
$3K23 tradersopen
19%
Will a major media outlet publish an exposé on Oprah Winfrey's business practices and public image by December 31, 2025?
$3K12 tradersResolved
6%
Will NASA's Dragonfly mission discover any form of life on Titan by December 31, 2035?
$3K3 tradersopen
5%
Will my halloween costume 2025 be the yeezy swastika t-shirt and brown face paint (realistic blackface) to go as Kanye?
$2K16 tradersResolved
12%
Will Donald Trump receive less than 40% of the military vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
$2K14 tradersResolved
16%
Will twitter crash this week?
$1K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will the price movement of DJT stock accurately predict the outcome of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
$1K3 tradersResolved
76%
Which of the following will be true by 2030? (Nayib Bukele Questions)
$6765 tradersopen
—
Will Elon Make A Bid On Infowars?
$6367 tradersResolved
5%
Will I get a 170 on GRE Quant?
$5747 tradersResolved
87%
Will I think the Lex interview in Spanish is cringe?
$4717 tradersResolved
32%