Manifold Creator
Marnix
@Marnix
Markets by Marnix
What was the political lean of the person who shot Charlie Kirk?
$899K903 tradersResolved
—
Government shutdown with furlough in January 2026?
$99K324 tradersResolved
99%
Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?
$71K142 tradersResolved
—
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
$69K177 tradersResolved
—
Pope named Time's Person of the Year in 2025?
$50K102 tradersResolved
1%
Who will Donald Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
$44K102 tradersResolved
—
What will be true of Kamala Harris's vice president / running mate pick?
$39K115 tradersResolved
—
Will some crazy shit happen in the US this week (9/22)?
$37K271 tradersResolved
97%
Who will leave Trump's cabinet first?
$27K104 tradersResolved
—
Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?
$22K112 tradersResolved
1%
What will be true of the #1 "Best Album" on the "Apple Music's 100 Best Albums" list?
$21K9 tradersResolved
—
What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?
$19K244 tradersopen
—
Will Representative George Santos still be a member of the House of Representatives at the start of December 4, 2023?
$19K140 tradersResolved
3%
Will Trump sign tariffs on the EU by March?
$19K64 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be another notable US plane crash in February?
$18K55 tradersResolved
99%
Will some crazy shit happen in the US this week?
$17K243 tradersResolved
97%
Will Biden pardon anyone in his final two days in office?
$17K65 tradersResolved
99%
Will some crazy shit happen during the government shutdown?
$15K187 tradersResolved
75%
[💣] Will a senator switch party affiliation before 1/28?
$15K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will Pope Francis live to see Easter Sunday?
$14K84 tradersResolved
98%
Will LGBTQ+ content online be legally censored in the US before 2026?
$14K54 tradersResolved
3%
Will Elon Musk appear on Infowars in 2024?
$13K31 tradersResolved
1%
What game will win Games for Impact at the Game Awards 2023?
$12K21 tradersResolved
—
Trump pardons or commutes Ghislaine Maxwell?
$11K62 tradersopen
26%
Will there be at least one New York Times article on AI every week in 2024?
$11K78 tradersResolved
97%
Will I promote to diamond this season?
$11K20 tradersResolved
100%
Who's out first: Kristi Noem or Stephen Miller?
$9K19 tradersResolved
—
Will Claudia Sheinbaum remain president of Mexico through EoY 2026?
$9K13 tradersopen
93%
Will Eric Adams get a position in the Trump Admin now that he's dropped out?
$8K25 tradersResolved
2%
Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
$8K103 tradersopen
—
Will Pennsylvania legalize cannabis recreationally before 2025?
$8K14 tradersResolved
2%
Will "Unfrosted: The Pop-Tart Story" be fresh on Rotten Tomatoes?
$7K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Andrew Tate return to Romania by mid-April?
$7K29 tradersResolved
99%
Will Twitter ban pornography by the end of 2024?
$6K60 tradersResolved
4%
50+ killed in international waters during Trump's "War on Drug Cartels"?
$6K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will Ron Desantis drop out of the Presidential race before Florida holds its primaries (March 19th)?
$6K27 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Kids Online Safety Act pass in 2024?
$5K20 tradersResolved
4%
SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?
$4K11 tradersopen
42%
If there is an October Surprise in the 2024 Presidential election, who will it affect?
$4K28 tradersResolved
—
Will Time's 2025 Person of the Year be one person?
$4K51 tradersResolved
1%