Manifold Creator
Madge
@Mad
Markets by Madge
Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?
$34K141 tradersopen
75%
What will appear in Survivor 50 (that were featured in the fan vote)?
$25K16 tradersResolved
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Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical)
$13K24 tradersResolved
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Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
$13K35 tradersopen
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What will be true of the cake that manifold makes? [ADD RESPONSES]
$11K59 tradersResolved
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Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live)
$9K8 tradersResolved
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Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live)
$9K17 tradersResolved
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What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
$6K57 tradersopen
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Will there be an assassination attempt on Putin in 2024? [2024 Psychic Predictions]
$5K23 tradersResolved
2%
What will happen to Robert Roberson, currently sentenced to death for a "shaken baby syndrome" murder?
$5K7 tradersopen
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Who will win the Australian Baseball League finals in the 23/24 season?
$3K3 tradersResolved
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In what year will an explicitly queer Disney prince(ss) film be released for the first time?
$3K24 tradersopen
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Will there be "some kind of cap on house prices" in the UK in 2024? [2024 Psychic Predictions]
$2K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese have a "baby"/"rebirth" around him in 2024? [2024 Psychic Predictions]
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will more people die on Western Australian roads in 2024 than in 2023?
$2K11 tradersResolved
99%
Will Jimmy Carter be alive during a year with 0 cases of Guinea worm?
$2K9 tradersResolved
3%
Will more people die on Western Australian roads in 2023 than 2022?
$2K13 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be a "massive change" regarding Rishi Sunak in 2024? [2024 Psychic Predictions]
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will Australia release significant AI-related legislation/regulation in 2023?
$1K16 tradersResolved
5%
Will there be a major AI-related cancer ("a cure for cancer"?) discovery in 2024? [2024 Psychic Predictions]
$1K9 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it?
$1K26 tradersopen
60%
Will my removalist take legal action against me?
$1K9 tradersResolved
2%
Will Australia release significant AI-related legislation/regulation by the end of 2024?
$1K11 tradersResolved
3%
Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical)
$1K9 tradersResolved
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Is my toe broken?
$91510 tradersResolved
97%
Which robot will win the 2023 Battlebots Champions Golden Bolt tournament
$7535 tradersResolved
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Which of my beeminder goals will I derail on first?
$6737 tradersResolved
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Will Viih_Sou be unbanned from chess.com by the end of 2024?
$47613 tradersResolved
5%
Will there be an all-female crew as part of the next six missions to land on the moon?
$32212 tradersopen
14%
In 2030, will Western Australia's number of killed and serious injuries on the road be less than half of its 2020 value?
$29510 tradersopen
15%
Will there be an all-female crew as part of the first six missions to land on mars?
$2908 tradersopen
24%
Will Australia release significant AI-related legislation/regulation by the end of 2025?
$2808 tradersResolved
21%
Will I enjoy my husband's "half lasagna half nachos"
$21515 tradersResolved
81%
Will Jennifer Anniston go public with a new romance in 2024? [2024 Psychic Predictions]
$1052 tradersResolved
9%
What will appear in Survivor 50 (that were featured in the fan vote)?
$1001 tradersResolved
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Manifold makes a vegan cake: ingredients proportioned as below.
$0131 tradersResolved
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