Manifold Creator
MachiNi
@MachiNi
Markets by MachiNi
Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$144K289 tradersopen
98%
In a year, will I think Manifold has been a good use of my time?
$83K75 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the 2023 Tour de France (men’s GC)?
$83K44 tradersResolved
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Right approach to @bens puzzle (#2) / Collaboration space
$81K50 tradersResolved
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(Don’t bet; see duplicate) Will I have zero alcoholic drinks in 2023?
$34K15 tradersResolved
80%
Will a hurricane make landfall anywhere in the continental US before the end of August?
$34K109 tradersResolved
98%
Will there be a season 4 of The White Lotus?
$31K16 tradersopen
99%
Will a Spanish rider finish on the podium of the 2023 Tour de France?
$30K17 tradersResolved
0%
Will a hurricane make landfall anywhere in the continental US before the end of September?
$29K60 tradersResolved
2%
2025 Western States 100 Men’s winner
$28K31 tradersResolved
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Will an Australian rider finish on the podium of the 2023 Tour de France?
$28K21 tradersResolved
0%
Who will win the polka dot (best climber/KOM) jersey at Tour de France?
$27K10 tradersResolved
—
Will a French rider finish in the top 10 at the 2023 Tour de France?
$27K12 tradersResolved
100%
Will @itsTomekK remain trustworthy-ish until the end of 2023?
$24K38 tradersResolved
100%
Will an American (USA) rider finish on the podium of the 2023 Tour de France?
$23K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida before the end of August?
$23K76 tradersResolved
98%
Will a Colombian rider finish on the podium of the 2023 Tour de France?
$22K11 tradersResolved
0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before October?
$22K57 tradersResolved
1%
Will a French rider finish on the podium of the 2023 Tour de France?
$21K8 tradersResolved
0%
Will @bens puzzle (round 2) get below 10%?
$21K22 tradersResolved
1%
Will a tropical storm make landfall anywhere in the continental US by September 10?
$20K36 tradersResolved
0%
Will Julian Alaphilippe win a stage at the 2023 Tour de France?
$20K8 tradersResolved
0%
What is 3I/Atlas?
$19K34 tradersResolved
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Will sales of plant-based meats increase over 2023?
$18K62 tradersResolved
1%
Will a Slovenian rider finish on the podium of the 2023 Tour de France?
$17K13 tradersResolved
100%
Will Eliud Kipchoge win another Olympic gold medal?
$16K28 tradersResolved
1%
Who of Pogacar or Vingegaard will have more Tour de France GC wins by the end of the 2025 edition?
$16K29 tradersResolved
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[Ṁ100 subsidy] Will Ron DeSantis be publicly criticized by a GOP rival for his handling of Hurricane Idalia?
$15K20 tradersResolved
100%
Will anyone run a marathon under 2:01:00 in 2023?
$15K67 tradersResolved
99%
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before November?
$14K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will this market (open for a few hours) have more than (>) 20 unique traders?
$14K21 tradersResolved
100%
Will Daniil Medvedev win a Grand Slam title in 2023?
$14K43 tradersResolved
1%
Will any rider win the Giro-Tour Double in 2024?
$14K23 tradersResolved
98%
Will Rafael Nadal play in the 2023 French Open (Roland Garros)?
$13K13 tradersResolved
0%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a Grand Slam title in 2023?
$13K23 tradersResolved
100%
Named storm before start of Atlantic hurricane season
$12K22 tradersResolved
1%
Will @NamesAreHard reach top 10 of all time trading profits leaderboard in 2023?
$11K17 tradersResolved
100%
How many characters in the solution to @bens puzzle (round 2)?
$11K13 tradersResolved
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Will a rider be seriously injured because of a reckless spectator during Tour de France?
$11K9 tradersResolved
0%
Donald Trump meets with Marine Le Pen during his Paris trip
$11K34 tradersResolved
2%