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C

@M_C

Markets by C

Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024?

$35K117 tradersResolved
1%

Will Donald Trump still be relevant in US politics by 2028?

$30K45 tradersResolved
85%

Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?

$20K75 tradersResolved
3%

Will >97% of all jobs be fully automated before the year 2075?

$16K108 tradersopen
56%

Will the Russo-Ukrainian War end before the beginning of 2025?

$11K22 tradersResolved
2%

Will Magnus Carlsen be the first chess player to achieve a rating of over 2900?

$6K18 tradersclosed
4%

Will North Korea attempt to invade South Korea before 2035?

$4K29 tradersopen
25%

When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?

$3K57 tradersopen
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Will Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency replace the US Dollar by 2030?

$2K11 tradersopen
4%

Will I live to be more than 1 billion years old?

$2K20 tradersopen
5%

Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?

$1K24 tradersopen
12%

Will cheap, portable, general purpose non-invasive brain-computer interfaces be commercially available by the year 2030?

$1K28 tradersopen
15%

Will I achieve a 60 day prediction streak?

$98315 tradersResolved
89%

Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100?

$93729 tradersopen
32%

Will an AI become president of the United States before 2040?

$86020 tradersopen
6%

Will the first AI Superintelligence be installed on a classical computer, a quantum computer, or some other alternative?

$74719 tradersopen
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What decade will humanity establish the first permanent colony on the Moon?

$65514 tradersopen
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Of the declared Republican candidates, who will be the first to drop out of the primaries?

$5555 tradersResolved
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Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050?

$35912 tradersopen
53%

Will I achieve a 30-day prediction streak?

$33013 tradersResolved
90%

Will the next pandemic be worse than COVID?

$1869 tradersopen
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Will YOU live more than 1 billion years?

$1507 tradersopen
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Will Perfect Surveillance be possible before the year 2040?

$1487 tradersopen
12%

How should AI Superintelligence be defined, in terms of IQ?

$1358 tradersclosed
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Roko’s Basilisk vs The Squiggle Maximizer: Who would win in a Death Battle?

$1076 tradersResolved
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How does humanity establish its first permanent colony within the Alpha Centauri system?

$824 tradersclosed
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Roko’s Basilisk vs The Squiggle Maximizer DEATH BATTLE!!!!!

$016 tradersResolved
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How will the replication crisis within Academia be resolved?

$014 tradersResolved
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