Manifold Creator
2-COCHAIN STORK
@MARABOUSTORK
Markets by 2-COCHAIN STORK
Will Harvard *or* MIT *or* both close on Monday February 23, 2026?
$1K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will the US prohibit Internet users from using https://chat.qwen.ai/ for at least a day before EOY2029?
$1818 tradersopen
14%
Will Greta Thunberg get a boyfriend or SO by EOY2032?
$16013 tradersopen
79%
Will Jared Diamond reach age 93?
$515 tradersopen
62%
Will New England have 0 Republicans in Congress (Senate + House) at end of February 2027?
$414 tradersopen
41%
Will https://pickle.com/memory allow import from Ideaflow by EOY2030
$332 tradersopen
46%
Will Josh Tycko end up joining Genetic Control? (Lada Nuzhna)
$221 tradersopen
50%
Will @flappyairplanes (Flappy Airplanes) be valued at more than $1Billion by EOY2027?
$201 tradersopen
41%
Will we know who https://x.com/scaling01 is by EOY2040?
$111 tradersopen
45%
Will Bryan Johnson try DMT by EOY2028 (and tweet about it)?
$101 tradersopen
45%
Will MIT Course 3 have higher Year on Year growth than MIT Course 1 between EOY2026 and EOY2027?
$101 tradersopen
55%
Will Simeon Campos end up working for https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-mistral-will-rise-as-compute by 2038?
$51 tradersopen
48%
Would Stephen Hsu look HOT in a CCP officer uniform?
$05 tradersopen
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Will Razib Khan finally give in and play EU5?
$00 tradersopen
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Will Barton Rhodes make a duck high by EOY2044?
$00 tradersopen
50%
Will Cody Hergenroeder have f2-isoprostanes level in 2027 <70% of his 2026 level?
$00 tradersopen
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If you feed psilocybin/shrooms to a duck, does it turn into a psyduck?
$08 tradersopen
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Is David Spivak funny?
$00 tradersopen
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Will Jenny (Zhuoting) Zhang win the Turing Award?
$01 tradersopen
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Is Prime Intellect's @willccbb funny?
$04 tradersopen
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Will 1517 fund have above-average fund performance (for a VC fund) by EOY2029?
$00 tradersopen
50%
Will Chenyang Zhao and Alex L Zhang coauthor a paper together?
$01 tradersopen
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Will Andrea Olsen and Alex Zhavoronkov coauthor a paper together?
$02 tradersopen
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Favorite Chinese LLM?
$03 tradersopen
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Will @fleetingbits get a Clawdbot or Ralph Wiggum by EOY2035?
$01 tradersopen
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Will https://www.humandirectedfutures.org/ conference run again in 2026?
$00 tradersopen
50%
Will Jyotirmai Singh visit incepto.house by EOY2030?
$00 tradersopen
50%
Will @vivariumSF still exist by EOY2028?
$00 tradersopen
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Will Prince Vogelfrei 🐦⬛and William Eden EU5 together?
$00 tradersopen
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Will Senator John Curtis help save NOAA/UCAR?
$01 tradersopen
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Is Yishan Wong funny?
$03 tradersopen
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Is Dan Zhang (@DZhang50) from Ricursive Intelligence funny?
$00 tradersopen
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Is Teortaxes funny?
$00 tradersopen
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Is Perry E. Metzger funny?
$01 tradersopen
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Is Matthew Gentzel the highest integrity person ever?
$06 tradersopen
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Is Ruth Hook (@ruth_hook_) funny?
$00 tradersopen
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Will https://pcb.mit.edu/lectures/slides/IAP2026PCBClassLecture05.pdf still be up in 2032?
$03 tradersopen
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Will Chelsea Voss exceed 10 BPS on augmentaltech's BCI?
$01 tradersopen
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Is Barton Rhodes the crown prince of ADHD?
$00 tradersopen
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Is David Hansen (@boxcardavid) funny?
$00 tradersopen
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