Manifold Creator
2-COCHAIN STORK
@MARABOUSTORK
Markets by 2-COCHAIN STORK
Will Harvard *or* MIT *or* both close on Monday February 23, 2026?
$1K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will the US prohibit Internet users from using https://chat.qwen.ai/ for at least a day before EOY2029?
$1818 tradersopen
14%
Will Greta Thunberg get a boyfriend or SO by EOY2032?
$16013 tradersopen
79%
Will Jared Diamond reach age 93?
$515 tradersopen
62%
Will New England have 0 Republicans in Congress (Senate + House) at end of February 2027?
$414 tradersopen
41%
Will https://pickle.com/memory allow import from Ideaflow by EOY2030
$332 tradersopen
46%
Will Josh Tycko end up joining Genetic Control? (Lada Nuzhna)
$221 tradersopen
50%
Will @flappyairplanes (Flappy Airplanes) be valued at more than $1Billion by EOY2027?
$201 tradersopen
41%
Will we know who https://x.com/scaling01 is by EOY2040?
$111 tradersopen
45%
Will Bryan Johnson try DMT by EOY2028 (and tweet about it)?
$101 tradersopen
45%
Will MIT Course 3 have higher Year on Year growth than MIT Course 1 between EOY2026 and EOY2027?
$101 tradersopen
55%
Will Simeon Campos end up working for https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/ai-2026-mistral-will-rise-as-compute by 2038?
$51 tradersopen
48%
Is David Spivak funny?
$00 tradersopen
—
Is David Hansen (@boxcardavid) funny?
$00 tradersopen
—
Will 1517 fund have above-average fund performance (for a VC fund) by EOY2029?
$00 tradersopen
50%
Who would win in a 1v1 Starcraft match? Alex Zhu or Chelsea Voss?
$01 tradersopen
—
Would Stephen Hsu look HOT in a CCP officer uniform?
$05 tradersopen
—
Will @fleetingbits get a Clawdbot or Ralph Wiggum by EOY2035?
$01 tradersopen
—
Favorite Chinese LLM?
$03 tradersopen
—
Will Chenyang Zhao and Alex L Zhang coauthor a paper together?
$01 tradersopen
—
Will Prince Vogelfrei 🐦⬛and William Eden EU5 together?
$00 tradersopen
—
Will Cody Hergenroeder have f2-isoprostanes level in 2027 <70% of his 2026 level?
$00 tradersopen
—
Will Jenny (Zhuoting) Zhang win the Turing Award?
$01 tradersopen
—
Will Chelsea Voss exceed 10 BPS on augmentaltech's BCI?
$01 tradersopen
—
Will Senator John Curtis help save NOAA/UCAR?
$01 tradersopen
—
Will Taalas have higher market cap than Etched by EOY2028?
$00 tradersopen
—
Will Elon Litman end up working for Yann LeCun?
$01 tradersopen
—
Is Prime Intellect's @willccbb funny?
$04 tradersopen
—
Will Andrea Olsen and Alex Zhavoronkov coauthor a paper together?
$02 tradersopen
—
Is Teortaxes funny?
$00 tradersopen
—
Is Barton Rhodes the crown prince of ADHD?
$00 tradersopen
—
Is Dan Zhang (@DZhang50) from Ricursive Intelligence funny?
$00 tradersopen
—
Will https://www.humandirectedfutures.org/ conference run again in 2026?
$00 tradersopen
50%
Is Perry E. Metzger funny?
$01 tradersopen
—
Is Matthew Gentzel the highest integrity person ever?
$06 tradersopen
—
Is Ruth Hook (@ruth_hook_) funny?
$00 tradersopen
—
Will https://pcb.mit.edu/lectures/slides/IAP2026PCBClassLecture05.pdf still be up in 2032?
$03 tradersopen
—
Is Yishan Wong funny?
$03 tradersopen
—
Does the world want Alexey Guzey to be happy?
$00 tradersopen
—
Will @vivariumSF still exist by EOY2028?
$00 tradersopen
—