Accrue
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillancePricing
Log inGet Access
  1. Accrue
  2. /Home
  3. /Manifold
  4. /Lonis
Manifold Creator

Lonis

@Lonis

Markets by Lonis

Will GPT4/Opus report >50% score on ARC in 2024?

$26K55 tradersResolved
7%

Will Bytedance be banned in the US by 2025?

$12K26 tradersResolved
1%

Will an LLM report >50% score on ARC in 2025?

$11K21 tradersResolved
99%
3
Markets Created
Total Volume$49K
Total Traders102
Resolved3
View on Manifold →
Accrue© 2026
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillance
The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets
TermsPrivacyRisk DisclosureCookiesDisclaimerAcceptable Use