Manifold Creator
Lion
@Lion
Markets by Lion
Who will be on the Democratic Ticket in 2024?
$1.3M919 tradersResolved
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Will Donald Trump be the TIME 2024 Person of the Year?
$940K967 tradersResolved
99%
Will any significant ticket (RFK/Trump/Harris+VPs) change before election day?
$338K423 tradersResolved
97%
Super Tuesday prop bets [March 5th]
$310K380 tradersResolved
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Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,300.00 before 4,900.00?
$201K226 tradersResolved
99%
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before May 1st?
$108K208 tradersResolved
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Is Manifold overreacting or underreacting after the first presidential debate on CNN (compared to next month)?
$106K332 tradersResolved
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Which company will be the biggest worldwide by market cap at the end of 2024?
$99K305 tradersResolved
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Which thresholds will Bitcoin (BTC) hit in April?
$78K75 tradersResolved
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[Super Tuesday] In which GOP state primary/caucus will Donald Trump receive more than 65.00% of votes on Super Tuesday?
$62K37 tradersResolved
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Who will win Liege-Bastogne-Liege Femmes (Women) 2024?
$55K7 tradersResolved
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If RFK Jr. drops out, will Harris' lead in national polls (RCP) increase compared to two weeks later?
$51K240 tradersResolved
57%
What will the winning margin at the 2024 South Carolina Republican primary be? (resolves on results)
$50K34 tradersResolved
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What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before Veterans Day (EOD November 11th)? [ADD YOUR OWN]
$48K97 tradersResolved
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If the CIA's JFK assassination documents are declassified, what will they reveal? [ADD YOUR OWN]
$46K72 tradersResolved
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What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th?
$46K133 tradersResolved
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Who will be the richest person in the world at the end of January 31st 2024? (Forbes)
$42K55 tradersResolved
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Who will win Paris-Roubaix (Men) 2024?
$40K16 tradersResolved
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Who will be the richest person in the world at the end of 2024? (Forbes)
$37K167 tradersResolved
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Who will be the richest person in the world at the end of February 29th 2024? (Forbes)
$36K50 tradersResolved
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Which companies will be in the Top10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2024?
$35K90 tradersResolved
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Who will win the Giro d'Italia (Maglia rosa) 2024 🇮🇹?
$35K18 tradersResolved
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Will either Harris or Trump win the 2024 Presidential Election?
$32K39 tradersResolved
99%
[Harris 🥥 Effect] Will there be a media-worthy national shortage of coconuts in the US before November 15th?
$32K46 tradersResolved
1%
How much money will the 'Stand with Trump' GoFundMe campaign collect within its first month (March 16th)?
$31K28 tradersResolved
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Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,100.00 before 4,700.00?
$30K59 tradersResolved
100%
Who will win Milano - SanRemo 2024 🇮🇹?
$30K25 tradersResolved
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Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2024?
$30K53 tradersResolved
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Who will win Liege-Bastogne-Liege (Men) 2024?
$28K18 tradersResolved
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[Super Tuesday] In which GOP state primary will Donald Trump receive the highest percentage of votes on Super Tuesday?
$28K19 tradersResolved
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Will Truth Social go public including as a SPAC by April 19th? [Donald Trump]
$28K14 tradersResolved
100%
Which prices will Bitcoin (BTC) hit in May?
$27K54 tradersResolved
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@Tumbles Meme Stock ($TMS)
$27K38 tradersopen
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Will Primoz Roglic win the Vuelta a Espana 2024?
$27K21 tradersResolved
99%
Which prices will Bitcoin (BTC) hit in July?
$26K41 tradersResolved
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Will @realDonaldTrump celebrate the TWO YEAR ANNIVERSARY of his MUG SHOT on X?
$26K93 tradersResolved
1%
Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 6,000.00 before 5,000.00?
$22K43 tradersResolved
99%
[Musk fact check] Will the Tesla Robotaxi be unveiled on August 8th 2024?
$22K64 tradersResolved
1%
Will we see Biden playing golf against Trump before the end of 2024?
$22K75 tradersResolved
1%
If Kamala Harris wins the election, will she be the TIME 2024 Person of the Year?
$22K88 tradersResolved
95%