Manifold Creator
Lester Crafton
@LesterCrafton
Markets by Lester Crafton
Will BTC reach $100,000 by midnight April 20th, 2024 (approximately three days after the next halvening)?
$24K39 tradersResolved
1%
Will the U.S. pass a law before 1/1/2024 with a provision that either increases or extends Bonus Depreciation?
$22K16 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be an audible "Lock Him Up" chant at any point during the DNC?
$14K94 tradersResolved
99%
Will Israel or her allies Successfully Strike any of Iran's Nuclear Facilities Before Midnight Eastern June 13, 2024?
$13K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will a sitting U.S. Senator's name be revealed in the DC prostitution case before 1/1/2024?
$12K39 tradersResolved
3%
Will an NFL player be arrested for an auto or domestic violence incident before the draft ends on 4/27/2024?
$11K28 tradersResolved
20%
Will Donald Trump send another tweet in 2023?
$9K79 tradersResolved
3%
Will any characters from "Gen V" appear in "The Boys Season 4"?
$8K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will BTC reach $100,000 by midnight eastern June 6, 2024 ?
$7K20 tradersResolved
1%
Will an NFL player be arrested for an auto or domestic violence incident before 1/1/2024? (Post Von Miller's 11/30 arres
$7K4 tradersResolved
100%
Will the Chicago Bears, with the first pick in the 2024 NFL draft this April:
$6K6 tradersResolved
—
Will Kanye West be featured in a top ten song before 2027?
$5K49 tradersResolved
96%
Who will be drafted higher, Marvin Harrison, Jr. or Drake Maye
$5K22 tradersResolved
—
Will Sam Altman's Next Announced Job on X/Twitter be:
$5K48 tradersResolved
—
Who will drop out of the Presidential Race First, Dean Phillips or Asa Hutchinson
$4K12 tradersResolved
—
What will happen first
$4K33 tradersopen
—
Will Jim Jordan be voted in as speaker before 5 pm EST on 10/17?
$4K13 tradersResolved
1%
Neither Joe Biden nor Donald Trump will be nominated by their party to run for President in 2024.
$4K28 tradersResolved
3%
When will humans intentionally destroy an AI data center first?
$4K14 tradersResolved
—
Will Marriages/Civil Unions with 3+ people be legally recognized in five or more states by January 1st 2029?
$2K15 tradersopen
7%
If Kamala Harris is elected President, will the term "bitch" in google trends exceed its recorded high from July 2015?
$2K23 tradersopen
38%
Which of the following Candidates will be the first to have an interview with Lex Fridman released?
$2K13 tradersResolved
—
Will a 2024 Presidential Candidate run an ad on the Las Vegas Sphere before the November 2024 Election?
$2K10 tradersResolved
99%
Will an NFL player be arrested for an auto or domestic violence incident b4 the draft ends on 4/27/2024? (Post R. Rice
$2K13 tradersResolved
2%
Will an NFL Player be arrested for a driving or domestic violence incident before 1/1/2024?
$2K25 tradersResolved
90%
Which of these NCAA Conferences will have the most football teams on Jan. 1st 2027?
$2K39 tradersopen
—
Will Elon and AOC have a confirmed child before 1/20/2032?
$1K10 tradersopen
1%
Will the third vote for Speaker of the House, scheduled for 10am on 10/20 conclude by noon?
$1K26 tradersResolved
90%
Will the EU carbon price close 2023 above €100/tonne?
$1K10 tradersResolved
2%
Will an NFL player be arrested for an auto or domestic violence incident before 2/11/2024? (begins post-Ogletree)
$1K21 tradersResolved
11%
Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?
$1K6 tradersopen
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Will an NFL player be arrested for an auto or domestic violence incident before 1/1/2024?
$90629 tradersResolved
49%
Will the Saudis either buy the XFL/USFL or start their own league to compete with the NFL before 1/1/2025?
$90511 tradersResolved
2%
Will Tua Tagovailoa play more career games than Andrew Luck?
$83315 tradersopen
73%
Will the Miami Dolphins Set the All-Time Regular Season NFL Offensive Yardage Record this season?
$8037 tradersResolved
3%
Will Quinn Ewers defeat Arch Manning's NFL team in a conference championship or Super Bowl?
$7703 tradersopen
25%
What will happen first in a U.S. Presidential election.
$49612 tradersopen
—
Will NVDA close up at the end of the 10/18/23 trading session?
$3875 tradersResolved
5%
Will Andrew Murr announce he isn't running for re-election in 2023?
$3223 tradersResolved
91%
Will an NFL player be arrested for an auto or domestic violence incident before 1/1/2024? (Post Zay Jones' 11/13 arrest)
$3134 tradersResolved
94%