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Manifold Creator

halfdiminished

@LeonLinuxlu

Markets by halfdiminished

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky speak on TV in 2025?

$3K35 tradersResolved
100%

Did DeepSeek violate OpenAI's terms of service by using OpenAI model outputs for distillation in 2024 or January 2025?

$2K9 tradersResolved
9%

Will Microsoft AI launch its first model by September 2025?

$7517 tradersResolved
98%

Any ARC‑AGI‑3 Preview submission solves at least one private game level?

$4188 tradersResolved
94%
4
Markets Created
Total Volume$6K
Total Traders59
Resolved4
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