Manifold Creator
Lavander
@Lavander
Markets by Lavander
Resolves to market if this market has <= 25 traders, otherwise resolves to YES.
$54K27 tradersResolved
100%
Resolves to market if this market has <= 10 traders, otherwise resolves to YES.
$15K12 tradersResolved
100%
Resolves YES in 1 + (number of traders) days.
$13K12 tradersResolved
99%
Will the meaning of the phrase "among us" associated with the meme be largely forgotten by the end of 2024?
$8K32 tradersResolved
2%
This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2024, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES.
$7K14 tradersResolved
99%
Will the top NO holder have an even number of shares at the close?
$5K20 tradersResolved
1%
Will I bet Ṁ500 on YES in this market?
$5K31 tradersResolved
4%
Resolves to market if this market has <= 50 traders, otherwise resolves to YES.
$2K17 tradersResolved
60%
Will there be 6 or more betting YES among the first 10 traders?
$1K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be 11 or more betting YES among the first 20 traders?
$1K23 tradersResolved
5%
This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2025, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES.
$1K15 tradersResolved
98%
Will I be able to resolve this market myself at the end of 2030?
$97016 tradersopen
62%
Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?
$91018 tradersopen
30%
Resolves to market if this market has <= 100 traders, otherwise resolves to YES.
$53415 tradersResolved
24%
Will be resolved randomly, but the trader who lost the most mana will receive M300.
$38410 tradersResolved
50%
This market will resolve to PROB 96%
$3357 tradersResolved
39%
This market will resolve to YES if it's 50% or if it's <= 25% at close and to NO otherwise.
$3309 tradersResolved
31%
Which oscillator will be found first in Conway's Game of Life, period 19 (=YES) or period 41 (=NO)?
$2304 tradersResolved
88%
Will >300k people know Esperanto fluently by the end of 2040?
$1599 tradersopen
29%
Does free will exist?
$402 tradersResolved
50%