Manifold Creator
Spongpad
@LBeesley
Markets by Spongpad
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
$138K392 tradersResolved
1%
Which division will yield the 2025 MLB World Series winner?
$63K42 tradersResolved
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Will I be one of the Megamillions Jackpot winners tonight (8/8/2023)?
$42K29 tradersResolved
0%
Which of the following will have the highest market cap to finish calendar year 2025?
$29K18 tradersResolved
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Will MLB’s Chicago White Sox set a new record for the most losses (121+) this season?
$21K34 tradersResolved
98%
Will a member of U.S. Congress be censured or expelled prior to the 2024 U.S. general election?
$20K26 tradersResolved
100%
Which of the following position players/hitters will finish the 2025 MLB season with 7.0+ bWAR?
$17K11 tradersResolved
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Will there be another widely reported sentient AI by the end of CY2023?
$16K68 tradersResolved
5%
Will the MLB World Series winner in 2023 be among the lower half of teams in terms of projected team payroll?
$15K21 tradersResolved
1%
How many MLB teams will lose 100 or more games during the 2025 regular season?
$15K21 tradersResolved
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Which of the following currently qualified MLB hitters will finish the season with a 1.000+ OPS?
$15K12 tradersResolved
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Will 42 or fewer total games be played during the 2024 MLB Postseason?
$13K22 tradersResolved
1%
Which MLB team will be the first to guarantee a winning record during the 2024 season? (First to 82 wins)
$12K22 tradersResolved
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Will a Repub presidential candidate not named Donald Trump win the most delegates in any state on Super Tuesday?
$12K45 tradersResolved
99%
Will the continental United States’ highest recorded ground temperature of 134F (57C) be broken this summer?
$12K34 tradersResolved
1%
What will be the final total number of games played remaining in the MLB postseason?
$12K10 tradersResolved
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Which MLB team(s), if any, will finish the 2024 regular season with 100+ wins?
$12K34 tradersResolved
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How many times will a #1 ranked NCAA Div I football team be defeated during the 2024 regular season? (FBS only)
$11K26 tradersResolved
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Same city wins 2+ major sports championships (2025-2026)?
$11K11 tradersopen
11%
Embracing the Suck: MLB’s 2025 Colorado Rockies loss market
$11K13 tradersResolved
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Which of the FAANG stocks will have the best calendar year performance in 2025?
$10K21 tradersResolved
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Which of the following FAANG companies’ stock will post the best performance during CY2024?
$10K31 tradersResolved
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Which MLB team will have the most 2025 regular season wins by the end of April?
$10K25 tradersResolved
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MLB Regular Season 2024: First team to clinch playoff berth
$10K15 tradersResolved
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Which of the following MLB pitchers will finish the 2025 season with 6.0+ bWAR?
$9K7 tradersResolved
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Which MLB team(s) will lose 100 or more games during the 2024 regular season?
$9K26 tradersResolved
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Which non-kicker NFL player will score the most points during the 2024 NFL regular season?
$9K14 tradersResolved
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Which NFL division will the 2023-2024 Super Bowl winner be from?
$9K25 tradersResolved
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After the Chicago White Sox (currently at 81 losses), which MLB team will secure a losing season (2nd team to 82 Ls)?
$9K10 tradersResolved
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Will at least one (qualified) MLB player from both the AL and NL finish the 2024 season with a 1.000+ OPS?
$8K5 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Canadian NHL team advance to the conference finals of the Stanley Cup playoff?
$7K14 tradersResolved
0%
Will UPS union workers strike on August 1, 2023?
$7K28 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Miami Dolphins have a .500 record or better with a QB1 who isn’t Tua under center during the 2024 season?
$6K8 tradersResolved
5%
Which NFL teams will finish with a winning season in 2025-2026 season?
$6K24 tradersResolved
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Will Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander face each other as opposing SPs in at least one MLB playoff game in 2023?
$6K16 tradersResolved
2%
Which Power 5 conference will have the most teams in the NCAA 2023 College Football Playoff?
$5K19 tradersResolved
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Will the sun rise in the west tomorrow?
$5K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will the 2023 MLB World Series go to Game 7?
$5K14 tradersResolved
1%
Which of the following financial services/banking stocks will perform best in calendar year 2025?
$5K6 tradersResolved
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How many teams in MLB Central divisions will have a win/loss record of .500 or higher at the All-Star Break this season?
$5K4 tradersResolved
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