Manifold Creator
Kyle
@KyleY
Markets by Kyle
🇮🇷🇮🇱 Will Iranian leadership or Israeli leadership change first?
$16K99 tradersResolved
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Will living off “Huel” be shown to have negative health effects by 2026?
$3K42 tradersclosed
5%
What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
$2K51 tradersopen
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Government admits to tampering with Epstein prison footage by summer's end?
$2K32 tradersResolved
1%
Will another CEO be assassinated before the next 5 school shootings?
$2K60 tradersResolved
7%
If @DavidBudden uploaded something to ArXiv, will he claim it needs a revision before resolving the NS bet?
$2K24 tradersclosed
53%
When will I be able to watch a trailer for the next Half-Life game?
$1K14 tradersopen
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Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?
$1K16 tradersopen
27%
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in a war during the 2nd Trump administration?
$1K23 tradersopen
13%
How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?
$97021 tradersopen
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Will an Israel-Hamas cease-fire occur within 2 months of the US election?
$96212 tradersResolved
1%
Will I complete Dry January?
$7259 tradersResolved
92%
Will I continue paying for ChatGPT through the summer?
$58316 tradersResolved
97%
Will pro-Palestinian college protests begin again in earnest and will Kamala Harris’s youth support decline?
$3108 tradersResolved
6%
[short fuse] Which prediction markets will be mentioned on Freakonomics?
$22514 tradersResolved
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Will US cannabis legalization reverse in any state within 5 years?
$2169 tradersopen
11%
By what year will Adobe officially support Photoshop on Linux?
$1875 tradersopen
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Will the first identified alien life be microscopic? [by 2030]
$1856 tradersopen
90%
Will I spend real money on Manifold by the end of the year?
$1844 tradersResolved
20%
Will OpenAI cease to exist before turning a profit?
$17012 tradersopen
42%
Will someone be arrested for pissing on Donald Trump’s grave before 2035?
$12811 tradersopen
28%
Next FromSoftware game?
$453 tradersResolved
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