Manifold Creator

KnowNothing

@KnowNothing

Markets by KnowNothing

Who will be Speaker of the House on December 1?

$125K159 tradersResolved

Will Twitter/X start charging *everyone* to use the platform by the end of March 2024?

$109K312 tradersResolved
1%

Will Twitter Circles be disabled at the end of October 31?

$37K85 tradersResolved
49%

Who will post the most-liked tweet of 2024?

$29K174 tradersResolved

Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?

$22K61 tradersopen

Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

$20K57 tradersopen

When will Kristaps Porzingis return?

$13K6 tradersResolved

Who will be Spotify's second most listened to artist in 2024?

$9K28 tradersResolved

Who will get the most votes in the next vote for House Speaker?

$8K38 tradersResolved

Will the next permanent CEO of OpenAI reach out to Eliezer Yudkowsky within their first 100 days?

$7K56 tradersResolved
5%

Who will be Spotify's most listened to artist in 2024?

$7K70 tradersResolved

What will happen first?

$4K58 tradersResolved

What songs will be nominated for "Song of the Year" at the Grammys?

$4K15 tradersResolved

When will Season 3 of "The Bear" premiere?

$4K4 tradersResolved

Who will win the "Unerring Giants" Platinum league?

$3K7 tradersResolved

What's next for George Santos?

$3K35 tradersclosed

Who will win an MVP first?

$3K40 tradersclosed

When will Season 2 of "Fallout" premiere?

$2K8 tradersResolved

Who will get the most votes in the second vote for House Speaker?

$2K12 tradersResolved

When will Season 2 of "Severance" premiere?

$2K7 tradersResolved

At market close, will most traders be making money?

$2K15 tradersResolved
10%

When will Season 2 of "The Last of Us" premiere?

$2K11 tradersResolved

What percent of the vote will Democrats get in their 2024 Senate races?

$73216 tradersclosed

Will >50% of traders be in the red at market close?

$60010 tradersResolved
47%

When will Season 2 of "House of the Dragon" premiere?

$58911 tradersResolved

How many words will there be in the title of Lana Del Rey's next album?

$829 tradersResolved