Manifold Creator
Erik
@Kire_
Markets by Erik
When will there be a 4th Starship Launch?
$15K25 tradersResolved
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Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $1 trillion by 2035?
$15K18 tradersopen
99%
Will New Glenn be successfully recovered on its first recovery attempt?
$14K45 tradersResolved
3%
What will happen during the first New Glenn launch?
$7K26 tradersResolved
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Is Eric Berger right about the future of Starship?
$4K14 tradersopen
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Will I receive my manifold markets t-shirt?
$4K26 tradersResolved
95%
Will the Starship flight 10 ship be caught?
$3K15 tradersResolved
1%
When will Brightline West open for service?
$3K10 tradersopen
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How many times will ULA launch in 2025?
$3K5 tradersResolved
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Elon elected to public office as America Party member?
$3K64 tradersopen
2%
Will AR/VR headset use be ubiquitous on commercial airlines by 2030?
$3K31 tradersopen
20%
Will Lumina Probiotics be offering applications of their bacteria at the end of 2024?
$2K14 tradersResolved
95%
Will the Starship Flight 9 ship be caught?
$2K14 tradersResolved
1%
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
$2K4 tradersopen
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Will the Gävle goat survive 2024?
$1K15 tradersResolved
99%
Will the SpaceX flight 11 ship be caught?
$1K13 tradersResolved
1%
Why was Dr Disrespect banned from Twitch?
$1K5 tradersResolved
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[short-fuse 💣] Will I be able to fly out of LAX with only my smartphone?
$1K23 tradersResolved
83%
Will I miss a flight in 2026?
$1K9 tradersopen
77%
Will Manifold change the trade UI *again* in 2025?
$1K12 tradersResolved
99%
How many miles will Project Bob travel?
$9226 tradersopen
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[Short fuse] LAX-MCO vacation flights delayed or cancelled?
$9037 tradersResolved
5%
Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?
$76514 tradersopen
84%
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045
$62719 tradersopen
59%
What will happen as a result of the Garden Grove chemical accident?
$5608 tradersopen
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First fully successful Starship v3 flight?
$53718 tradersopen
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Will the Hermeus Quarterhorse Mk 1 test vehicle achieve remote takeoff and landing?
$5001 tradersResolved
97%
Will Manifold add a way to sort liked markets in 2024?
$4254 tradersResolved
5%
Will Manifold curate ranked markets in any league in 2025?
$4056 tradersResolved
4%
What percent of US trucking will be fully autonomous by 2030?
$38616 tradersopen
17%
Which of the following is the best body wash for slightly oily skin?
$3667 tradersResolved
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Over the next five years, what percent of GitHub code will be authored by an AI agent?
$3085 tradersopen
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Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $5 Trillion by 2030?
$21212 tradersopen
37%
Will Manifold fix the explore feed jumping back to the top after closing a market? (In 2025)
$1996 tradersResolved
85%
Will any DOGE employee be tried for a work related crime?
$16210 tradersopen
34%
When will I be able to drag markets down in predictle (android bug)?
$1554 tradersResolved
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Which of the following will Gen Z see in their lifetime?
$14410 tradersopen
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How many times will ULA launch in 2025?
$1402 tradersResolved
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When will OpenAI first turn a profit?
$1105 tradersopen
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When will Relativity's Terran R rocket launch?
$802 tradersopen
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