Manifold Creator
Keith
@KeithManning
Markets by Keith
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?
$11K36 tradersopen
67%
When will TIME magazine’s 2025 Person of the Year be released?
$3K15 tradersResolved
—
Who will win the main event of UFC 319
$3K26 tradersResolved
—
Who will win the main event of UFC 321 (Aspinall vs Gane)
$2K11 tradersResolved
—
What will SpaceX's stock ticker be?
$2K22 tradersopen
—
Who will win the main event at UFC 320 (Ankalaev vs Pereira 2)
$1K11 tradersResolved
—
Who will win the main event of UFC 324? (Gaethje vs Pimblett)
$96312 tradersResolved
—
Who will win the main event of UFC 322? (Della Maddalena vs Makhachev)
$90819 tradersResolved
—
Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?
$64320 tradersopen
20%
Will Conor McGregor fight at the UFC Whitehouse event?
$54611 tradersopen
14%
Who will win the main event of UFC 323 (Dvalishvili vs Yan)
$5186 tradersResolved
—
Will the folding iPhone include “fold” in the name?
$3528 tradersopen
7%
Who will win the main event of UFC 325 (Volkanovski vs Lopes 2)
$2986 tradersResolved
—
Will there be a single-person funded, owned and operated unicorn before 2050?
$25813 tradersopen
40%
Will Tom Aspinall fight Cyril Gane in the UFC in 2026?
$1559 tradersopen
49%
Will I win a bet with my friend?
$1113 tradersResolved
76%
Will Meshuggah play in Australia in 2026?
$994 tradersopen
25%