Accrue
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillancePricing
Log inGet Access
  1. Accrue
  2. /Home
  3. /Manifold
  4. /Karl K.
Manifold Creator

Karl K.

@KarlK

Markets by Karl K.

How will Donald Trump die? (Before age 100)

$10K77 tradersopen
—

Will California voters pass Proposition 36 — Drug and Theft Crime Penalties and Treatment-Mandated Felonies Initiative?

$10K13 tradersResolved
99%

Which countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?

$4K20 tradersopen
—

Which countries will the United States invade by the end of 2030?

$3K26 tradersopen
—

Havana syndrome: As of 2030, what will be the public medical/scientific consensus of the cause?

$2K28 tradersopen
—

When will Berkeley have bad air (>150 AQI) due to wildfire smoke this year?

$1K6 tradersResolved
—

Will California voters pass the Pandemic Early Detection & Prevention Institute Initiative?

$8303 tradersResolved
4%

How Friendly is capitalism? Does capitalism optimize for a subset of human values?

$041 tradersopen
—
8
Markets Created
Total Volume$31K
Total Traders214
Resolved3
View on Manifold →
Accrue© 2026
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillance
The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets
TermsPrivacyRisk DisclosureCookiesDisclaimerAcceptable Use