Manifold Creator
Julius Simonelli
@JuliusSimonelli
Markets by Julius Simonelli
Will Lighthaven shut down in 2024 due to lack of funds?
$142K59 tradersResolved
1%
Random resolution market resolves YES by November 19, 2025
$7K17 tradersResolved
15%
By which year will most Americans have had their DNA sequenced?
$2K24 tradersopen
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Will Illumina (ILMN) go bankrupt before 2026?
$9729 tradersResolved
1%
Rock beats scissors?
$5967 tradersResolved
5%
Scissors beats paper?
$5628 tradersResolved
10%
What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released?
$5167 tradersopen
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Paper beats rock?
$4208 tradersResolved
89%
If Trumps wins in 2024, will US GDP be over $30 trillion on 1 Jan 2028?
$1504 tradersopen
84%
Will Jared Kushner serve as Secretary of State by November 7, 2028?
$1385 tradersopen
19%
Will the San Diego Rationalists adopt any amount of futarchy?
$1218 tradersResolved
35%
Will Illumina (ILMN) go bankrupt before 2028?
$1014 tradersopen
24%
If Biden wins in 2024, will US GDP be over 30 trillion on 1 Jan 2028?
$902 tradersResolved
85%
Will the U.S. Government sue OpenAI for violating antitrust laws by 2030?
$473 tradersopen
63%