Manifold Creator
Joshua
@JoshuaB
Markets by Joshua
Now that Joe Biden has begun running for the 2024 Democratic Nomination, will he be the nominee?
$180K102 tradersResolved
1%
How will Mira’s main GPT-4 Sudoku market resolve?
$144K118 tradersResolved
—
Will the linked market have at least 90 traders before it closes?
$86K14 tradersResolved
100%
Will one of Biden, Trump, or DeSantis win the 2024 Presidential Race?
$73K88 tradersResolved
98%
Will the linked market have at least 95 traders before it closes?
$69K14 tradersResolved
100%
Will the linked market have at least 80 traders before it closes?
$65K5 tradersResolved
100%
Will someone other than Joe Biden win at least one state in the 2024 Democratic Primary?
$58K242 tradersResolved
5%
Will the name of at least one of the Manhattan trial Trump jurors be known within one month of the verdict?
$53K47 tradersResolved
1%
Who will play Tim Walz on SNL?
$44K48 tradersResolved
—
Will Trump win the Presidency in 2024, now that SCOTUS has reversed the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision?
$30K80 tradersResolved
98%
Will Manifold have a convenient way to create a bunch of markets about “basically the same topic” by the end of 2023?
$26K64 tradersResolved
96%
Will the linked market have at least 75 traders before it closes?
$25K11 tradersResolved
100%
Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist be at least a finalist for a Pulitzer?
$25K91 tradersResolved
1%
Will the linked market have at least 85 traders before it closes?
$21K9 tradersResolved
100%
If Kamala Harris is elected will Israel still exist 2 years after inaguration?
$17K23 tradersResolved
96%
Will John be the next Republican Senate leader after Mitch McConnell?
$16K34 tradersResolved
99%
Will Proof School host 2 official dances this school year?
$15K25 tradersResolved
0%
Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist win a Pulitzer?
$15K33 tradersResolved
1%
Will the 118th Congress pass more than 700 resolutions?
$13K20 tradersResolved
99%
If the US Women were considered a country, will they be in the Top 3 for the gold medal count at the 2024 Olympics?
$13K35 tradersResolved
99%
Will Ryan Wesley Routh be alive in one week?
$13K24 tradersResolved
99%
Will Trump say all 50 states before the election?
$12K64 tradersResolved
3%
Will Manifold Markets be in the top 10 Google Search results for “Manifold" at the end of 2023?
$11K66 tradersResolved
91%
Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump play a golf match before the election?
$11K30 tradersResolved
2%
Will a "No One Is Above the Law Amendment" be ratified by end of 2025?
$11K22 tradersclosed
1%
Will this LIE be fixed on the league page by end of Friday???
$10K5 tradersResolved
98%
Will the linked market get at least 377 traders by end of July 15? (78 more!)
$10K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will the 118th Congress pass more resolutions than the 117th Congress (760)?
$10K15 tradersResolved
1%
Who will CA Governor Newsom appoint to replace Dianne Feinstein?
$10K31 tradersResolved
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Will a "No One Is Above the Law Amendment" be ratified by end of 2027?
$10K26 tradersopen
5%
Who will win TCEC’s Cup 12?
$10K4 tradersResolved
—
Will I remain the undisputed Pirate Waiter World Champion for the remainder of the school year?
$8K19 tradersResolved
95%
In 2 weeks will I believe it’s more likely than not that Tim Walz made false statements about his military career?
$7K22 tradersResolved
90%
Will there be any names with the letter Q in them at Proof at the start of the 2023-2024 school year?
$6K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will @CGPGrey have the "trustworthy-ish” badge by the end of 2023?
$6K12 tradersResolved
99%
Will OpenAI declare Chapter 7 Bankruptcy by the end of 2024?
$6K42 tradersResolved
1%
Will the linked market have at least 65 traders before it closes?
$6K10 tradersResolved
99%
Will @VersusBot be a top 50 creator rank at 12:00 PM PDT April 2nd?
$5K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will Tim Walz apologize for his previous comments about his military record within a week?
$4K25 tradersResolved
3%
Will the name of at least one of the Manhattan trial Trump jurors be known within one week of the verdict?
$4K18 tradersResolved
7%