Accrue
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillancePricing
Log inGet Access
  1. Accrue
  2. /Home
  3. /Manifold
  4. /Josef Mitchell
Manifold Creator

Josef Mitchell

@JosefMitchell

Markets by Josef Mitchell

How soon will Private investment in LLMs be lower than it was in 2024Q1? (from 01.01 to 31.3 of 2024)

$8256 tradersopen
—

What percentage of existing jobs can be destroyed by Machine Learning while guaranteeing society is not subverted?

$72611 tradersResolved
—

A privately held manufacturing company will have replaced at least 50% of it's human factory workforce by:

$1184 tradersopen
—

Can different levels of concern about Machine Learning (ex. unemployment, physical harm) be discussed in unison or not?

$415 tradersResolved
71%

Will employee's political power be reduced when they are disemployed or made unemployable? (if N/A please add your own)

$402 tradersResolved
—
5
Markets Created
Total Volume$2K
Total Traders28
Resolved3
View on Manifold →
Accrue© 2026
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillance
The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets
TermsPrivacyRisk DisclosureCookiesDisclaimerAcceptable Use