Manifold Creator
Jonathan Mann
@JonathanMann
Markets by Jonathan Mann
This question will resolve as YES on 2023-10-16
$33K34 tradersResolved
100%
This question will resolve as YES on 2024-01-01
$28K29 tradersResolved
99%
Will Threads reach at least 100M users before July 12th as reported by Quiver Quantitative?
$13K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will Threads reach at least 150M users before July 18th as reported by Quiver Quantitative?
$13K6 tradersResolved
0%
Will Threads reach at least 200M users before August 1st as reported by Quiver Quantitative?
$7K10 tradersResolved
0%
This question will resolve as YES
$7K10 tradersResolved
100%
Will abstraction.substack.com have at least 50 subscribers on October 31st, 2023?
$7K13 tradersResolved
99%
This question will resolve as YES on 2023-09-15
$7K15 tradersResolved
100%
According to Google Finance, will 1 BTC be worth at least 17 ETH on December 1st, 2023?
$4K16 tradersResolved
97%
Will abstraction.substack.com have at least 40 subscribers on September 30th, 2023?
$4K13 tradersResolved
99%
According to Google Finance, will 1 BTC be worth more than 16 ETH on March 31st, 2023?
$3K8 tradersResolved
2%
Will Threads reach at least 128M users before August 1st as reported by Quiver Quantitative?
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will abstraction.substack.com have at least 75 subscribers on November 30th, 2023?
$2K10 tradersResolved
99%
According to Google Finance, will 1 BTC be worth more than 16 ETH on September 1st, 2023?
$2K25 tradersResolved
12%
Will the US existing home median sales price be higher than $403,000 USD for June 2023?
$2K19 tradersResolved
70%
Will the US existing home median sales price be higher than $370,000 USD for May 2023?
$2K21 tradersResolved
94%
Will the US existing home median sales price be lower than $365,000 USD for April 2023?
$1K18 tradersResolved
18%
According to Google Finance, will 1 BTC be worth less than 14 ETH on March 31st, 2023?
$1K8 tradersResolved
3%
Will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a system with at least 1,000 qubits by the end of 2023?
$8369 tradersResolved
10%
Will the US existing home median sales price be higher than $350,000 USD for March 2023?
$4956 tradersResolved
95%
Will the US existing home median sales price be higher than $400,000 USD for August 2023?
$4489 tradersResolved
87%
Will the US existing home median sales price be higher than $395,000 USD for May 2023?
$43411 tradersResolved
74%
Will the US existing home median sales price be higher than $400,000 USD for July 2023?
$43315 tradersResolved
67%
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
$42415 tradersopen
49%
Will the US existing home median sales price be lower than $352,500 USD for February 2023?
$3999 tradersResolved
11%
Will abstraction.substack.com have at least 100 subscribers on November 30th, 2023?
$3756 tradersResolved
91%
Will the US existing home median sales price be lower than $357,000 USD for March 2023?
$3628 tradersResolved
33%
Will the US existing home median sales price be higher than $395,000 USD for September 2023?
$3548 tradersResolved
90%
Will the US existing home median sales price be at least $413,800 USD for June 2024?
$3536 tradersResolved
79%
Will the short-term rental linked in the description reach an occupancy rate of at least 50% for August 2022?
$3076 tradersResolved
90%
Will the US existing home median sales price be at least $387,000 USD for October 2023?
$2565 tradersResolved
88%
Will the US existing home median sales price be at least $400,000 USD for January 2025?
$1334 tradersResolved
76%
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
$13112 tradersResolved
49%
Fairly Random Test - DO NOT BET
$1001 tradersResolved
90%
Will the US existing home median sales price be at least $379,000 USD for January 2024?
$983 tradersResolved
72%
Will the US existing home median sales price be at least $387,000 USD for November 2023?
$984 tradersResolved
80%
Will the US existing home median sales price be at least $400,000 USD for March 2024?
$814 tradersResolved
51%
US existing home median sales price at least $430,000 USD for June 2025?
$754 tradersResolved
42%
Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA?
$323 tradersopen
53%
Will the short-term rental linked in the description reach an occupancy rate of at least 50% for September 2022?
$202 tradersResolved
41%