Manifold Creator

Learned Hand

@JimD

Markets by Learned Hand

Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft?

$36K53 tradersResolved

When will SCOTUS release its Trump tariff case opinion?

$18K22 tradersResolved

Will Congress fund the Department of Homeland Security by February 13?

$13K39 tradersResolved
1%

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

$7K29 tradersopen
65%

By how much will the Democrats beat the GOP in the 2026 Massachusetts Governor’s Race?

$5K1 tradersopen

Which Schools Sign Trump’s Compact for Academic Excellence?

$5K21 tradersResolved

Will the groundhog see his shadow in 2026?

$5K36 tradersResolved
65%

What will SpaceX’s valuation be at the close of its first day of being publicly traded?

$5K13 tradersopen

Who will be the Republican candidate for governor of Massachusetts in the 2026 election?

$4K3 tradersResolved

Golf: Who Will Win the 2025 Travelers Championship?

$3K11 tradersResolved

Who will win the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic primary for US Senate

$2K22 tradersopen

Will the groundhog see his shadow in 2027?

$1K10 tradersopen
70%

Will the Clintons invoke the fifth amendment or executive privilege in their testimony regarding Epstein?

$8869 tradersResolved

Will Boston receive a foot of snow by the end of 1/31/26?

$3045 tradersResolved
89%

What will Anthropic’s publicly traded market value be on 12/31/27

$2695 tradersopen

How will SCOTUS rule in Trump v Cook?

$1986 tradersopen

Who will win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

$1692 tradersopen

In the which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?

$875 tradersopen

Will Palm Beach International Airport be renamed in honor of President Trump?

$503 tradersResolved
69%

Which schools, if any, will sign the Trump Administration’s Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education?

$00 tradersResolved