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Manifold Creator

Jesse Tate

@JesseTate

Markets by Jesse Tate

Will Elon Musk believe and state publicly that buying twitter was a mistake, by the end of 2025?

$8K35 tradersclosed
3%

What is the greatest existential threat (true extinction-level threat) to humanity?

$2K34 tradersclosed
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Intuitions about Infinity

$90629 tradersclosed
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Greatest Apocalyptic Threat (not truly existential, but sets us back some thousands or tens of thousands of years)

$85426 tradersclosed
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People sympathize more strongly with Joffrey or Cersei?

$2005 tradersclosed
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Will interplanetary colonization be economically profitable before 2200?

$1126 tradersclosed
84%

Is music meaningful if there is no one playing it and no one hearing it?

$436 tradersclosed
40%

Am I more creeped out by spiders or snakes?

$123 tradersResolved
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Do value statements or moral judgements describe some feature of the world (reality)?

$11 tradersclosed
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Order vs Chaos: which do we need more right now?

$027 tradersopen
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Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

$023 tradersopen
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Is there a conceivable human conflict in which ethnic cleansing would be the best possible option?

$037 tradersopen
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Has accurate information become more accessible (worldwide) over the last century?

$031 tradersopen
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Are ethics just aesthetics?

$013 tradersopen
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Accurate information is more or less accessible than 50 years ago?

$058 tradersopen
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Is Consciousness an Illusion?

$019 tradersopen
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Does Death give life meaning? Should we seek to conquer death? Is there something beyond death?

$012 tradersopen
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If Aliens Experience More Meaningful Lives Than us, Ought we Accept Our Demise? (Read Description)

$013 tradersopen
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