Manifold Creator
Jenny
@Jenny
Markets by Jenny
Chain reaction of 10 bot trades by end of 2023
$177K38 tradersResolved
100%
This market resolves NO
$79K161 tradersopen
1%
Will Putin be the leader of Russia during the entire 2022?
$67K389 tradersResolved
99%
Will the winner of the world cup come from Europe?
$66K97 tradersResolved
1%
Will @Mira be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?
$62K80 tradersResolved
100%
Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson by the end of 2022?
$53K185 tradersResolved
99%
Will France Win the 2022 World Cup?
$52K70 tradersResolved
1%
Will Scott Alexander write an ACX blog post containing the word "rationalussy" by the end of 2023?
$41K139 tradersResolved
2%
Will any of the traders roll 42 on a 100-sided Fairly Random die by EOY? (no hax)
$35K62 tradersResolved
100%
Will @DesTiny be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?
$35K61 tradersResolved
3%
Will the implied probability of this question stay below 25% for at least 12 hours and then stay above 75% for at least 12 hours?
$27K29 tradersResolved
18%
Will it be unclear/disputed whether Destiny reached 600,000 subscribers by end of 2022?
$22K39 tradersResolved
34%
Will anyone stop being trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?
$22K24 tradersResolved
100%
Will the implied probability of this question stay below 25% for at least 12 hours and then stay above 50% for at least 12 hours?
$22K19 tradersResolved
95%
Will Ukraine control any territory near Azov sea by end of March 2023?
$21K39 tradersResolved
2%
Will the mysterious profit spikes be fixed by end of Feb 2023?
$20K53 tradersResolved
97%
Will Russia invade any parts of Ukraine besides Donetsk and Luhansk oblast before March 8?
$19K44 tradersResolved
77%
Will China eliminate Taiwan during the 2023 AFC Asian Cup?
$17K8 tradersResolved
0%
Will the 'Biden quiescence' market resolve N/A?
$17K40 tradersResolved
99%
Will Argentina and France reach the final?
$16K52 tradersResolved
99%
2022 World Cup: Will Argentina reach the Semifinals?
$15K25 tradersResolved
100%
Will a trustworthy-ish user get banned by end of 2023?
$15K45 tradersResolved
4%
Will 'Russia invades Ukraine' stay above 75% for at least an hour?
$13K23 tradersResolved
92%
Will Ukraine regain control of all of Kupiansk (including the eastern half) by the end of 2022?
$13K40 tradersResolved
99%
This market resolves to 25%, or 75%, whichever is closest to the final probability
$12K24 tradersResolved
25%
Will Twitter prohibit Manifold links by May 2023?
$12K20 tradersResolved
0%
Will Spain Win the 2022 World Cup?
$11K16 tradersResolved
0%
Will @outsidertrader4cb6 resolve their FIFA markets correctly?
$10K15 tradersResolved
0%
Conditional on this market having at least 10 unique traders, will it have at least 20?
$10K24 tradersResolved
100%
Will Artemis I Launch by the end of October?
$9K64 tradersResolved
0%
I want to invest M$1000 for 1 week. How much will the borrower pay me at the end?
$9K11 tradersResolved
22%
Will Artemis I Launch by the end of Oct 4?
$9K55 tradersResolved
0%
By the end of 2022, will the most popular market on Manifold have had at least 1000 traders?
$8K14 tradersResolved
99%
When will Manifold allow 'date' as a unique answer type in 2023?
$8K33 tradersResolved
99%
Will @Boklam's market about Covid Zero resolve N/A?
$8K12 tradersResolved
0%
Will any user be both trustworthy and untrustworthy at the same time by end of 2023?
$8K29 tradersResolved
1%
Will Isaac's "69" market resolve N/A?
$7K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ukraine regain control of Lysychansk by the end of 2022?
$7K58 tradersResolved
2%
Will Argentina and Morocco reach the final?
$7K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will the April 8, 2024 partial solar eclipse have coverage over 50% at 3:29 pm in Boston?
$7K16 tradersResolved
99%