Manifold Creator
James Sully
@JamesSully
Markets by James Sully
Does extraterrestrial life at least as complex as a fly exist anywhere in the solar system?
$4K51 tradersopen
5%
Will a mission intending to intercept 'Oumuamua be launched before 2035?
$2K22 tradersopen
5%
Will Fabiano Caruana become world chess champion by 2050?
$2K19 tradersopen
18%
Will ʻOumuamua be successfully intercepted before 2060?
$75614 tradersopen
7%
How much physics have we discovered, of all there is to discover?
$31317 tradersopen
36%
Who will win artist of the year at the 2022 American Music Awards?
$1687 tradersResolved
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If I am randomly selected as the responder in Tetraspace's transparent newcomb's paradox market, will I one-box?
$1001 tradersResolved
90%