Manifold Creator
J
@JSD
Markets by J
Will the upcoming executive order on AI be the longest executive order in history?
$3K18 tradersResolved
2%
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
$2K3 tradersopen
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Will softmax_1 solve the 'outlier features' problem in quantization?
$1K9 tradersResolved
10%
Will Berkeley AQI be considered Unhealthy on 9/21 at noon?
$1K11 tradersResolved
6%
Who will be US Secretary of Commerce in July 2025?
$5955 tradersResolved
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Will we learn by EOY 2024 that large AI labs use something like activation addition on their best models?
$37813 tradersResolved
23%
Will I attend the EOC19 party?
$1807 tradersResolved
90%
Will @qz enjoy Permutation City?
$965 tradersResolved
87%