Manifold Creator
J.R. R
@JRR
Markets by J.R. R
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
$394K783 tradersopen
23%
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
$291K346 tradersopen
48%
VP debate: will Walz or Vance win?
$229K413 tradersResolved
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Will Taylor Swift make a public statement about the AI/deep fake explicit photos?
$25K55 tradersResolved
1%
Will Shania Twain go on the Hard Fork podcast in 2024?
$14K72 tradersResolved
1%
Will Jim Harbaugh be the coach of the Michigan Wolverines in Fall 2024?
$12K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?
$11K68 tradersopen
78%
What major events will occur in connection with 2024 election?
$9K41 tradersResolved
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If the Republican candidate loses the U.S. Presidential election in 2028, will they say it was rigged/stolen?
$6K14 tradersopen
70%
Will the Democratic VP win their own home state?
$6K24 tradersResolved
94%
How long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last?
$4K16 tradersopen
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What will Biden's/U.S. response be to the death of 3 U.S. service members in Jordan?
$3K18 tradersResolved
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Will each top Democratic VP candidate win their home state if they are on the ticket?
$2K14 tradersResolved
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Which is most likely to cause a global catastrophic event? (Resolves as poll)
$2K17 tradersResolved
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Will at least one US World Cup game be moved because of Trump politics?
$2K25 tradersopen
26%
Will Trump threaten to move the 2028 Olympics out of LA?
$2K18 tradersopen
46%
Will Trump blame any stock market drop (daily or cumulative) on the selection of Kamala?
$1K11 tradersResolved
75%
Will Chappell Roan say any unscripted political statement on her SNL appearance? If so, what?
$7529 tradersResolved
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How long will Kamala's speech be at the DNC?
$54215 tradersResolved
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If there is a 3rd vote for Jim Jordan as Speaker, how many Republicans will vote for someone else?
$5194 tradersResolved
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Will Juwan Howard be the head coach of the Michigan Wolverines at the start of the '24/'25 season?
$5146 tradersResolved
5%
In the closed door "secret ballot" taken by Republicans after 3rd speaker vote, how many will say Jordan should drop out
$2052 tradersResolved
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If Trump is introduced at Knicks game, will he get Booed?
$20410 tradersResolved
88%
Will Taylor Swift headline the Las Vegas Sphere before December 31, 2026?
$983 tradersopen
33%