Manifold Creator
Ivan
@Ivan
Markets by Ivan
Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?
$6K75 tradersopen
66%
Will the dodo be de-extincted before 2040?
$4K38 tradersopen
28%
When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?
$2K24 tradersopen
26%
Will the top Reddit comment suggest that Putin has a body double that kisses people (at close time)?
$1K14 tradersResolved
96%
Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?
$1K38 tradersopen
78%
Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?
$97516 tradersopen
35%
Will the number of species known to be extinct since 1500 (IUCN EX) reach 950 by 2030?
$8298 tradersopen
97%
When will the meat substitute market reach 10% of the traditional meat market of any country?
$76015 tradersopen
29%
Will a gene drive for making humans more peaceful be released by the start of 2040?
$5937 tradersopen
7%
Will the Lobster programming language appear in the TIOBE index (top 100) by the end of 2028?
$5455 tradersopen
20%
Will at least 10000 people have gene-engineered bacteria in their mouth by the end of 2030?
$3389 tradersopen
71%
What is the cause of the recent tremors observed on the Danish island of Bornholm?
$30810 tradersopen
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Will remains of a pharaoh be found in Sahure's pyramid?
$2388 tradersopen
17%
What will be the first eukaryote to be de-extincted?
$22811 tradersopen
—
What will be the first eukaryote to be de-extincted?
$2233 tradersResolved
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Will Jonathan Oppenheim win his bet that gravity isn't quantized?
$1909 tradersopen
20%
Will any EU country implement a universal basic income before 2030?
$18310 tradersopen
24%
Conditional on USA annexing Greenland, how much time will pass before it is reversed?
$1576 tradersopen
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Will running "prey substitute" robots, which carry meat substitutes for feeding wild predators, exist by 2050?
$1557 tradersopen
24%
Will the Nim programming language be in the top 20 in the TIOBE index by the end of 2028?
$14610 tradersopen
17%
Will a device for behavior modification by punishment called "graduated electronic decelerator" be banned in USA by the end of 2024?
$876 tradersResolved
35%
Will less than 70% of agricultural land be used for farm animals by 2030?
$735 tradersopen
41%