Manifold Creator
Isaac Carruthers
@IsaacCarruthers
Markets by Isaac Carruthers
Will the CA FAIR plan get a bailout by 2026?
$5K11 tradersResolved
4%
Will Claude have a higher Elo than GPT next time LMSYS updates their rankings?
$3K24 tradersResolved
99%
Will Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?
$2K11 tradersopen
15%
Will US-50 (between Sacramento and South Lake Tahoe) be closed at noon Friday?
$1K2 tradersResolved
5%
Will '23-'24 turn out to be an above-average snow year for Tahoe?
$9751 tradersResolved
99%
What will be the outcome of the EEOC suit against the NYT?
$1703 tradersopen
—
Do limit orders visibly persist after a market closes
$123 tradersResolved
40%