Manifold Creator

Irigi

@Irigi

Markets by Irigi

Will Wagner group attack Ukraine from Belarus?

$23K72 tradersResolved
10%

How many seats will Czech Pirate Party gain in European Elections 2024?

$19K11 tradersResolved

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

$16K30 tradersopen

Will Belarus openly enter the Russo-Ukrainian war?

$12K66 tradersResolved
8%

Will annual inflation in Czech Republic be smaller than 11% in 2023?

$10K23 tradersResolved
100%

Will Robert Fico become prime minister of Slovakia by Feb 2024?

$7K20 tradersResolved
97%

When will Claude.Ai be accessible from Czechia (EU)?

$5K6 tradersResolved

Will Midjourney be forced to exclude some artists from training data by 2026?

$4K25 tradersResolved
4%

Will Vampire Masquerade: Bloodlines 2 be released in 2023 on Steam or GOG?

$4K12 tradersResolved
1%

Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin? (fixed)

$3K21 tradersopen

Will SPD be officially part of the next Czech government?

$2K10 tradersResolved
98%

When will Midjourney be able to draw triceratops?

$2K20 tradersResolved

If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?

$1K28 tradersopen

Lunar Gateway first occupied by a crew before 1/1/2028?

$1K8 tradersopen
2%

Volt Česko gains >5% votes in 2025 Czech parliamentary elections?

$8952 tradersResolved
1%

Lunar Gateway first occupied by a crew before 1/1/2029?

$88612 tradersopen
2%

Czechia's Economist Democracy Index score

$3831 tradersopen

Will ammunition explosion in Libavá be attributed to Russia?

$3751 tradersResolved
4%

Who will be the next president of Czech Republic after first term of Petr Pavel?

$3224 tradersopen

Russia-NATO war vs. Putin president

$23612 tradersopen

Is there presently AI watermark built into ChatGPT that we will know about prior 2028?

$2358 tradersopen
22%

What share of Russia’s frozen central bank reserves will have been used to support Ukraine?

$1183 tradersopen

Macinka remains a Czech minister in 2026

$962 tradersopen
71%

Will Czechia adopt a whitelist approach over a blacklist for defining legally purchasable animal species by 2028?

$675 tradersopen
38%

Will my aquarium leak water in 2024?

$452 tradersResolved
25%

When will Midjourney be able to draw a Beholder?

$00 tradersResolved

What distorts the probabilities of markets the most?

$023 tradersResolved

How many dice I am throwing?

$00 tradersResolved