Manifold Creator
Imuli
@Imuli
Markets by Imuli
Will Whales vs Mnnows take more than 24 hours to resolve after closing?
$9K9 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Kids Online Safety Act be signed into law in 2023?
$8K45 tradersResolved
2%
Will anyone quit Manifold for at least a week due to the drama around "Whales vs. Minnows"?
$7K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Online Safety Bill pass in 2023?
$7K37 tradersResolved
97%
Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?
$4K50 tradersopen
14%
Will the sound effects go away?
$3K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Kids Online Safety Act pass the US Senate in the 117th Congress?
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will Icelanders vote to proceed with talks to join the EU in 2023?
$2K15 tradersResolved
2%
Will Quebec leave Canada before 2040?
$2K19 tradersopen
10%
Will Avalanche Energy achieve net energy production by the end of 2025?
$1K9 tradersResolved
2%
Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?
$1K24 tradersopen
22%
Will AI ethics and AI safety people stop sniping at each other by July?
$1K7 tradersResolved
5%
Will forms of encryption that prevent Internet services from spying on their users face restrictions in the United States during 2023?
$97813 tradersResolved
4%
Will Hong Kong leave China before 2040?
$7299 tradersopen
4%
Will Twitter's end to end encryption for DMs be shown to have vulnerabilities (or not exist at all)?
$7126 tradersResolved
97%
Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?
$71122 tradersopen
20%
Discrete Exponent Chaos Market (83)
$71112 tradersResolved
87%
Will the (now changed) GitHub RSA SSH private key be easily available by the end of April?
$6575 tradersResolved
2%
How many people will make markets concerning "Whales vs Minnows"?
$55518 tradersResolved
67%
Will the STOP CSAM Act be signed into United States law in 2023?
$4805 tradersResolved
4%
Will Google Authenticator add end to end encryption to their new 2FA secret synchronization?
$4086 tradersResolved
13%
Astable Multivibrator: resolves against the state of the market 24 hours ago.
$4047 tradersResolved
45%
Will the initial copyright claim for Zarya Of The Dawn be upheld?
$3718 tradersResolved
33%
Will I decide that there is a better place to live than Iceland?
$36012 tradersResolved
39%
Will malicious firmware be found in the wild signed with keys from the MSI leak?
$2696 tradersResolved
13%
Will the Online Safety Bill still be incompatible with end to end privacy when it leaves committee?
$2659 tradersResolved
94%
Will I muck up my construction of HashEdDSA using Blake3 and Curve25519?
$2496 tradersResolved
9%
Will market spam on Manifold be a problem at the end of the month?
$1857 tradersResolved
25%
Will Sparks of AGI still be concerning in July?
$1306 tradersResolved
84%
Will the UK pressure credit card processors to enforce content censorship on Signal?
$826 tradersResolved
30%
Assuming the 5k market resolves YES, will at least one of the holders of ≥5k NO be an alt?
$583 tradersResolved
44%