Manifold Creator
Harry Hayfield
@HarryHayfield
Markets by Harry Hayfield
Will there be a snap Senedd election in Wales by the end of 2024?
$76K10 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?
$31K21 tradersResolved
94%
Will New Orleans experience flooding as a direct result of any levees failing due to Hurricane Francine?
$8K15 tradersResolved
32%
Will a new British record for swing, post war, be set at the 2024 general election?
$7K28 tradersResolved
90%
When all the votes are counted in the UK's general election, will Reform UK poll more votes than the Conservative Party?
$7K45 tradersResolved
9%
Who will be the "Mother of the House" after the next election?
$7K10 tradersResolved
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Will turnout in the 2024 general election be HIGHER than in the 2019 general election?
$6K28 tradersResolved
4%
Will the First Minister of Wales, Vaughan Gething MS, still be First Minister by the end of 2024
$5K5 tradersResolved
15%
Who will be the "Father of the House of Commons" after the next election?
$4K12 tradersResolved
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Which will happen first in the United Kingdom
$4K15 tradersResolved
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Will Nigel Farage stand for Westminster at the election?
$3K16 tradersResolved
11%
Who will be the winner of the UK version of Celebrity Big Brother 2024?
$3K3 tradersResolved
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Which party will have the Son or Daughter of the House elected?
$2K9 tradersResolved
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Will President Biden fumble his words during the 2024 State of the Union address?
$2K42 tradersResolved
83%
Will Jeremy Corbyn MP (Independent, Islington North) announce his intention to stand for the Worker's Party of Britain?
$2K12 tradersResolved
3%
Will the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be announced BEFORE the inauguration of the next American President?
$1K13 tradersResolved
89%
Which party will win the most seats in the next Scottish Parliament Elections?
$1K11 tradersResolved
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How many days will Rishi Sunak remain as Prime Minister after the close of polls in the local elections on May 2nd?
$94012 tradersResolved
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Will the election of Vladimir Putin as Russian President at the elections in March be deemed "not free or fair"?
$77015 tradersResolved
96%
How many seats will Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales win at the general election?
$3842 tradersResolved
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How many sitting Conservative MP's will NOT contest the 2024 UK General Election? (As of March 10th 2024: 59)
$3777 tradersResolved
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Will the 2024 local elections be worse for the Conservatives than the 1996 local elections?
$1806 tradersResolved
81%
Blackpool South by-election: Will the swing to Labour be greater or smaller than Wirral South in 1997?
$15612 tradersResolved
58%
How many times will Ruby Sunday die in the new series of Doctor Who?
$903 tradersclosed
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Which constituency will be the first to declare its result on Election Night 2024?
$00 tradersResolved
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